Suppose They Declared a Y2K War but Nobody Came?

greenspun.com : LUSENET : Poole's Roost II : One Thread

OK, I’ve looked over the Y2K reading material assigned in the other topic. I sort of “get it”: unbeknownst to probably 99.9% of the world, in 1999 there was a terrific “war” being fought on the Internet regarding what would happen come Jan 1 2000. There were the hardcore Y2K “Doomers,” who followed “Fast Eddy” Yourdon and bought his books: they believed Y2K was going to be a terrible catastrophe, and urged everyone to get ready for Armageddon. There were the hardcore Y2K “Optimists,” who followed Doc Paulie and bought his amazon.com stuff: They believed that Y2K was a hoax, or at least way overblown, and wanted for everyone to know that there were all these end-of-the-worlders out there with their guns and ammo, who might go berserk when The End didn’t come on time. The two sides had emotional, super-paranoid, hysterical outbursts, calling each other names, using profanity, accusing each other of all kinds of stuff, etc., etc.

Actually, the following forum page probably sums it up better than anything I could say:

The Reuben Delusion by Ken Decker
http://hv.greenspun.com/bboard/q-and-a-fetch-msg.tcl?msg_id=003nk0

from which I quote what probably is the most realistic picture that anyone could paint (DP=Doc Paulie; FUD=Fear-Uncertainty-Doubt): While DP has not expressed this idea explicitly, I think he suffers from what I'll call the "Reuben Delusion." In this fantasyland, the Y2K doomsayers were part of a grand conspiracy. North, Yourdon, Hyatt, Hamasaki, Gordon, etc. were in league to use Y2K for evil purposes like the overthrow of the free world or some other bad thing. This diabolic plot would have succeeded if not for the heroic Debunkers. Reuben, DP and a handful of others were not fooled by the evil doomsayers. Nay, they (and they alone) unraveled the sinister plan and then shifted the tide of FUD by running a web site and sending emails to reporters. Is the job done for these super heroes? Of course not, because North, Yourdon, etc. still roam freely. The Debunkers must remain ever viligant, if somewhat incoherent and profane.

Look, folks, reality check. The fact is that, regardless of which “side” of the war you were on, you got sucked into Internet hysteria, and ended up engaging in what I think any normal person would view as cult behavior. You believed you were going to save the world from something, that you needed to convert everyone else into believing what you did. Basically, you pretty much lived in a fantasy world that existed only on the Internet.

Let me give you a great test to use, a really simple one. Had you applied it back in ’99, you never would have gotten caught up in this nonsense, much less bought useless junk from either Fast Eddy or the Good Doctor.

IF SOMETHING LOOKS, SMELLS AND SOUNDS FISHY, IT PROBABLY IS.

C’mon, think about it. A computer bug is going to cause the entire world to crash and burn. Yet, all around you, the people in the know -- computer professionals, CEOs, your elected officials, the news media -- are telling you that it is a workable problem, and is “business as usual”. Life is, in fact, “normal” everywhere you look -- except when you connect to one of these looney Internet sites, and then all hell is breaking loose. It don’t add up, folks. Something fishy, for sure.

The Y2K glitch was never a threat to anyone, just another problem for techies, who work these problems every day. On the other hand, the people who decided to go overboard and buy guns and ammo for Armageddon were never a threat to anyone, so the “de-bunkers” also made asses of themselves by “fighting” these “evil dooers”. Note also that both sides shared the belief that nobody in a position of authority was to be trusted, so all the “facts” were just opinions being spewed out by people least qualified to know. Which, of course, only fueled the fire.

Nuts. All of it. Nuts.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001

Answers

"Yet, all around you, the people in the know -- computer professionals, CEOs, your elected officials, the news media -- are telling you that it is a workable problem, and is “business as usual”."

The "people in the know" were saying nothing of the kind. Many so-called "in the know" people were some of the worst "doomers." In real life (off the internet) they were getting too much attention in many organizations. In many cases this resulted in wasted money and time. What you see from browsing a few Y2K forums after the fact does not give you the complete picture.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


none@none.non

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001

Many so-called "in the know" people were some of the worst "doomers."


What are you saying? That CEOs, the techies at Microsoft, etc., were convinced that we were heading for a meltdown when the clock struck midnight Jan 1, 2000? This is so far-fetched, it is laughable!

Sir, I respectfully would suggest that perhaps you may have been misled by people on these sorts of Internet boards claiming to be in such positions, but more than likely trying to sell you end-of- the-world survival gear. If you can name one single "in the know" technical or management person who really believed this (and wasn't selling something), I'd love to hear about it. And what they are doing for a living now.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001

On the other hand, the people who decided to go overboard and buy guns and ammo for Armageddon were never a threat to anyone, so the “de-bunkers” also made asses of themselves by “fighting” these “evil dooers”.

HEY ASSHOLE!,

tell that to the cops that had to shoot two "prepers" that were looting stores for y2k "supplies".

Tell that to the pastor's son who blew his brains out because of y2k fears spread by NORTH YOUDONFOR HYATT and the rest.

While your at it esad, MF.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


Kind of touchy, aren't we?...

Gee, cops needed to shoot looters? Gosh, I've never heard of that happening before.

Someone committed suicide? My goodness, better call the "Doc", maybe it's a New World Order conspiracy that is ... coming to getcha!

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


none@none.non

Look TinKerbell,

300 billion to over 1 trillion US Dollars chased Y2k "issues". How are you going to BOX that one dumbass?

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


TK this wooMAN needs your advice...http://hv.greenspun.com/bboard/q-and-a-fetch-msg.tcl? msg_id=005xip

Clearly YOU GET IT so go DO IT.

Most of us olde-ass Debunkers are too tired to bother anymore. You came along at just the righttime friend. This ho still thinks Y2k REAL! Yep, hard to fathom I know, ya tell me about it. But I figgur with your expertise you can turn this broad around into a useful "meme"ber of society again.

Check back and let your friends here know how our newest Debunker faired.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


TK,

Ever hear of Ed Yardeni (that's not Yourdon)?

Try yardeni.com. No, he's not a CEO, but he sure influenced some.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


BTW, no I am not saying that techies at Microsoft were convinced we were headed for a meltdown, although I wouldn't be surprised if a few were, nor am I saying that CEOs were convinced either. Nobody was convinced, but many were worried that we might be.

I guess you missed the hearings on Capitol Hill, huh?

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


300 billion to over 1 trillion US Dollars chased Y2k "issues".

Wow! No wonder people went on looting sprees and were blowing their brains out!!

...OK, sorry, couldn't resist. Seriously, what is your point here?


Most of us olde-ass Debunkers are too tired to bother anymore.

Yeah, right, Doc, onto a new scam, huh? How's amazon.com doing?


Ever hear of Ed Yardeni (that's not Yourdon)?

Nope. But I'll do a looksee. (I can hardly wait to see what he is selling.)

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


I guess you missed the hearings on Capitol Hill, huh?

Yep. Anything I should have cared about?

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001

And another thing, TK.

There are still alot of things out there that are worth debunking as well. They may not seem important to you, but they are to me and to others as well.

For a start, check out the medical scams being debunked at www.quackwatch.com.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


TK there will never be another Corey Hill but keep trying. Who knows, maybe you are Corey's caliber. One thing is certain, you are our current village idiot.

TK is what this board needed, a can to kick around. Afterall dumbass, we did what we did because it was a hoot and a half.

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001


Ed Yardeni (MSN search engine was useful here.)

A well respected economist who thought the Y2K glitch was going to have some economic impact. And he was wrong, and said so.

Gee, an economist who made a prediction that turned out to be wrong, now that is really amazing, huh? But no end-of-the- world predictions, sorry folks.


...we did what we did because it was a hoot and a half.

But, just what is it that you think that you did? Convince all the other economists that Yardeni was a "doomer" by calling him a lot of profane names? Give me a break!

Guys, as has been pointed out previously by at least one other person (Ken Decker), you have just been playing a silly game with yourselves and your "doomer" counterparts. You took a complex technical issue (which led people like Ed Yardeni to worry about what might happen with Y2K), and turned it into a silly bar bet.

It is no different than if some band of wackos says, "On Sept 1, 2001 the sun will not come up.", and you decide to "de-bunk" them by calling them names and shouting that the sun will come up. Fine: Sept 1 comes, the sun does come up, they were wacky for having said what they did, and you are wacky for having wasted your time dealing with a bunch of wackos. Which, quite frankly, makes you even wackier.

The truth is that the vast, vast majority of economists called it right, the vast, vast majority of computer techies called it right, and 99.9% of the world called it right -- without ever having heard nor cared about Doc Paulie and his band of looney "debunkers".

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001

Hmmm...somehow I don't think "TK" is as new around here as he/she claims.

Your claim that the vast, vast majority of computer techies "called it right" is beside the point. Calling it right was easy. Everyone expected the "experts" would fix the problem. Of course, even the debunkers thought so. So what.

The point is, despite what you believe based on not having all the facts, there was a significant number of "doomers" in a position to influence the actions of a significant number of organizations to the point that those organizations (especially banks) had to spend more money on PR than they would have had to if there had not been an undercurrent of Y2K worrying.

Anyway, I've had enough of this argument. Think what you want about it.

Now care to argue about another "doomer" topic? "Global warming" has a lot of people in a tizzy for no good reason in my opinion. Is that worth debunking or are you one of the global-warming worriers?

-- Anonymous, August 06, 2001



Hmmm...somehow I don't think "TK" is as new around here as he/she claims.

Feeling paranoid, Buddy? Gee, based on what I have seen on this board, that is hardly surprising.


Your claim that the vast, vast majority of computer techies "called it right" is beside the point. Calling it right was easy. Everyone expected the "experts" would fix the problem. Of course, even the debunkers thought so. So what.

OK, now you really have me stumped. "Everyone" expected that the Y2K glitch would be fixed in time? Then what was all the hysterical shouting about?


The point is, despite what you believe based on not having all the facts, there was a significant number of "doomers" in a position to influence the actions of a significant number of organizations to the point that those organizations (especially banks) had to spend more money on PR than they would have had to if there had not been an undercurrent of Y2K worrying.

So ... it was all about the amount of money being spent to solve the problem? People here, who did not have any technical credentials worth diddly, felt that there was too much money being spent by those who were closest to, and charged with, solving the problem? And this was what all the hysterical shouting was about? Fascinating.


Anyway, I've had enough of this argument. Think what you want about it.

I think it was exactly what I said that it was, above: "Nuts. All of it. Nuts."


Now care to argue about another "doomer" topic? "Global warming" has a lot of people in a tizzy for no good reason in my opinion. Is that worth debunking or are you one of the global-warming worriers.

My personal opinion is that global warming is probably overblown with a lot of BS, and has very little substance behind it. But, given that I have no credentials whatsoever in this area, I am not really qualified to really debate it with anyone. I prefer to believe that those who do have credentials and are qualified will resolve the problem, assuming there really is one. And I would certainly be the last person to try to tell them how much money should be spent investigating/fixing it.

Which brings us back to the main point: Neither the "debunkers" nor the "doomers" knew what they were talking about on Y2K. They just wasted Internet bandwith with nutty babblings (like New World Order schemes, Armageddon, etc.) while the real work was being done by those who could talk the talk and walk the walk. And I salute them for it.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

"Yet, all around you, the people in the know -- computer professionals, CEOs, your elected officials, the news media -- are telling you that it is a workable problem, and is “business as usual”." Not quite, my dear. Not many professionals and CEOs were saying that at all. You obviously didn't see any of this. FUD and lawyers prevented any one (gov or CEOs) from speaking certainties as you proclaim. No one came out and said it's 'business as usual'. If that had happened the media would jump on it and the lawyers would have begun setting up the paperwork for tremendous law suits. Fact is, FUD made professionals hesitant, no absolutes. Funny, this in fact fueled the doomer side into saying, "see I told you it IS the end."

I agree with you Buddy.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001


People here, who did not have any technical credentials worth diddly, felt that there was too much money being spent by those who were closest to, and charged with, solving the problem? And this was what all the hysterical shouting was about? Fascinating.

Pardon me, but you know nothing about the technical credentials of the debunkers. As a group they are quite substantial. I was a Y2K project manager myself, as were several others.

You are right about the "everyone" quote above. I meant to say most of the public assumed the experts would handle it.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001


And no, it was not about the money spent to fix the problem. It was about the money and time, including my own company's, spent telling the hysterical Y2K-worriers not to worry, only to end up not being believed by that doomer group due to them being misled by a bunch of charlatans.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

Pardon me, but you know nothing about the technical credentials of the debunkers. As a group they are quite substantial. I was a Y2K project manager myself, as were several others.

OK, so you did your job, solving the Y2K glitch for your company, as did other Y2K project managers throughout the world...


You are right about the "everyone" quote above. I meant to say most of the public assumed the experts would handle it.

Yes, of course; I sure did, for what little attention that I paid to the Y2K computer glitch.


And no, it was not about the money spent to fix the problem. It was about the money and time, including my own company's, spent telling the hysterical Y2K-worriers not to worry, only to end up not being believed by that doomer group due to them being misled by a bunch of charlatans.

OK, this is where it gets confusing for me. Are you literally saying that your company was beseiged by "hysterical Y2K-worriers" under the influence of "charlatans" that you had to expend a lot of resources trying to pacify? Or did you, in fact, in reality have to go out on the Internet to seek these wackos? Please explain.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

Also, Buddy, I am curious: Doc Paulie has emphatically stated that Y2K was a hoax. As the Y2K project manager for your company, did you take this position, that it was a hoax? Or did you believe it to be real?

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

OK, this is where it gets confusing for me. Are you literally saying that your company was beseiged by "hysterical Y2K-worriers" under the influence of "charlatans" that you had to expend a lot of resources trying to pacify?

Exactamundo. Especially banks.

About Doc Paulie's saying Y2K was a hoax. I believe what he means is that Y2K as a public emergency was a hoax. I don't think he believes that there weren't date issues in computer software. The Y2K public emergency scenario was being pushed by folks who had something to sell to those who were gullible enough to believe that civilization could fall due to a widespread computer glitch.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001


Come to think of it, I do recall seeing "We are ready for Y2K" signs on my bank prior to Jan 1, 2000. Of course, I would expect that, given that they are in the business of being in business. And, worst case, the FDIC could close them and simply give me the full amount of any of my accounts there.

OK, maybe one just had to "be there" to understand, like Maria says. All I can tell you is that, reading through all of this, I feel like I was in the middle of a tremendous life-and-death war, yet completely oblivious to it. And, quite frankly, that makes it pretty hard to believe that it was all that serious.

Have a good day.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

If it doesn't pass in front of the world of TK, it doesn't exist. Amazing but TK is average I am afraid. Folks who live like a dog sniffing their way thru life oblivious to larger concepts and relationships.

No wonder we had a Y2k with so many, so lost in their own little "worlds". No wonder we have the Politicians and Government we do. All these crooks have to do is find TK's buttons and push them.

Ignorance is bliss

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001


...so lost in their own little "worlds"...

Yeah, like The Reuben Delusion page that I referenced above (author: Ken Decker).

Doc, what I find so absoloutely funny here, is that you completely display every paranoid, wacko, and downright looney characteristic imaginable, yet you are so convinced that you are normal.

And all because you were "right" about Y2K. Well, whoopdeedo, so was I, since I didn't believe there were going to be any problems, and there weren't. For that matter, 99.9% of the world got it "right".
,br> You might as well brag about having two arms and legs, it is about as meaningful, statistically.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

No no no not Normal, SANE. The world is mostly made-up of INSANE people thinking they are SANE.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

TK, Decker's little lecture in "The Reuben Delusion" is not something we all agreed with. That's his opinion and a bit of a condascending one at that.

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001

Hello:

I haven't been here in a very long time. Loved reading this. It is a puzzle.

Now I remember. From deep in the depths of my memory units. There was only one person who hyped Decker's analysis of the world. Who was that?

TK makes sense if you know Maryland. :<)

DB

-- Anonymous, August 07, 2001


Aw, ya'll slack up here. TK's obviously a bored troll in search of amusement. :)

TK:

I can't speak for anyone else, but I never claimed that I was reaching millions. Nor did I feel that my efforts were indispensible. But just because there were only thousands (instead of millions of billions) of people who were genuinely frightened about Y2K doesn't mean that the effort wasn't worth it. My email alone showed that I did help some people.

Not millions of people. I never thought that. But I did help a few to calm down, and I don't regret it.

(Besides, I was having fun the whole time, too.[g])

You must also remember that there quite a few people in positions of influence who were determined to "ride" the Y2K Horthie for reasons ranging from genuine (if misguided) concern to plain ol' buck-hustlin'. You can have a look at my Web site, the last few editions of "The State Of Y2K" to get an idea.

To give you an idea, the radical "eliminate-'em-all," unilateral disarmament type anti-nukers are definitely a minority. But because they have bucks to spend in Washington and some friends in the media, someone has to trouble him/herself to counter their arguments from time to time.

Likewise, the military is constantly inventing threats to obtain funding. The average American is totally uninterested in this, but that doesn't mean that George Smith's efforts -- directed at the few who count -- to counter some of their more outrageous claims are worthless.

Y2K had the *potential* to be a serious problem, NOT (ironically) because there was ever any real danger that the computers would (or even could) destroy the world, but because of the possibility of public panic.

There were indications in early 1999 that a large group of people were planning to take their money from the banks in late December, for example. Had enough people done that, we would have faced a serious banking crisis.

Speaking as someone who works in the media, most reporters really aren't very sharp on technological issues (that's a polite way of saying, "they're clueless"[g]), and they depend on "experts" to tell them what's up.

Here's the problem in this case: the Y2K Doom Experts went OUT OF THEIR WAY to get the ears of media and government. John Westergaard deliberately cultivated Senator Daniel Moynihan, for example, and Moynihan wrote a letter to Bill Clinton well before 2000 warning of possible dire consequences from Y2K. That's just one example of zillions. Stuff like that needs to be addressed, even though the average American (a) doesn't care and (b) has probably never even heard of it to start with.

I keep a sense of perspective. I certainly don't consider myself important or a "hero." Don't be silly. I realized that my stuff was read by, tops, a few thousand people. But that didn't mean that the effort wasn't worthwhile.

For that matter, most people don't believe in an NWO conspiracy. Does that mean that efforts to address the nutsos THERE are worthless, too?

-- Anonymous, August 08, 2001


Y2k flew for the same exact reason I oppose most of the Globalist Agenda(NWO-UN-CFR-Bildeberger-and Yogi the bear). This historically wrong, arrogant, silly mentality for a quick buck and Utopian Dreams, which says we are ALL THE SAME(or should be). That we all want to get laid, eat a burger, drive an SUV and vacation at Disneyworld. Basically BE WHITE.

The BS Melting Pot, it takes a Village, New World Order Western Corporate baloney. We ARE not all the same and the vast majority of life has NO CONNECTION at all. The overriding truth is balance does not allow excessive connectedness. What is connected is a function of BALANCE. No question some things are unbalanced, but one thing these areas do not do is blow up all at once like a Y2k promised to do. Unbalanced conditions are IN YOUR FACE daily.

Y2k flew on the backs of linear thinking blind people. Tiny problems would cascade into the assumed "highly connected" Western Socities, and multiply into serious, if not catastrophic problems. Fact this never happened indicates many do not have a clue how UNconnected their lives really are.

"Nobody knows for certain" was really saying, we all know how "connected things are", even though the reality was/is the opposite.

If not for a designed media black-out beyond the Internet, Y2k WOULD have become a major public panic. In fact, even with the public black- out, Y2k fear had significant impact. Here in Vegas, the 2000 New Years Party was the biggest dud I can remember. Local stores were cleaned of drinking water and similar "preps" the last two days of 1999.

While Y2k was the predictable dud it was, the mentality which spawned it still is alive and well.

-- Anonymous, August 08, 2001


I have to reiterate SMPoole's words,

"Y2K had the *potential* to be a serious problem, NOT (ironically) because there was ever any real danger that the computers would (or even could) destroy the world, but because of the possibility of public panic."

We (Y2K office of a large state) had access to lots of information from several sources unavailable to most people. By June '99 No one was worried about technical effects of Y2K. We could see that our own systems would be ready, industry insiders felt confident that they had things in hand.

But EVERYONE was worried about the vigilante nuts. And all you had to do was read TB2K. You could see that the fruitcake fringe was stocking up on ammunition. THAT was an ominous sign to law enforcement folks. Almost no one stocks up on guns and ammo--at least to that extent--without planning to use it.

So, yes, it WAS a big deal to a few people, and those were the folks that law enforcement officials were most concerned about. And as the time ran out, you could see that the few remaining doomers were hard-core surrealists or lying opportunists.

For instance, Hamasaki had his "inside sources" who assured him that nothing in Dee Cee was going to work on "01-01-oh-oh!" But we could see that state governments could get their systems in order--we had monthly teleconferences of state Y2K coordinators. So why wasn't Washington going to be OK, too? And why was it just one (Count 'em--one!) lone voice speaking out about the horrifying catastrophe lurking behind all the 9-track racks in bureaucracyville?

It was an even greater concern that someone at the pinnacle of national reputation and respect such as "toasty" Yourdon would also be so egregiously pessimistic when everyone else was mellowing. What did he have to gain by the pathetic bleating about the public slaughtering all the programmers? Where was he going with that?

Such rantings worried TPTB and by extension, those of us who worked closely with them during this time. It looked as though some folks were planning to cause public panic and use it for their own ends.

It's easy for someone (TK, for example) to have self-righteous 20/20 hindsight because he didn't see lights go out during his new year's eve bash. It's quite a different story for those of us who worked nights and weekends to make sure the lights stayed on and that the public didn't panic because of a few potential sociopaths.

Ken Decker is eloquent and his logic is frequently devastatingly accurate, particularly during the Y2K debate. But if he thinks that TB2K and Debunkies were sideshows, he has no concept of how TPTB goes about monitoring public safety and national threats.



-- Anonymous, August 08, 2001


But EVERYONE was worried about the vigilante nuts. And all you had to do was read TB2K. You could see that the fruitcake fringe was stocking up on ammunition. THAT was an ominous sign to law enforcement folks. Almost no one stocks up on guns and ammo--at least to that extent--without planning to use it.

Yeah, but nothing happened -- those TB2K vigilante nuts never actually caused any trouble, right? Which, means you lost that paticular bar bet. Right?

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

Here you go, little TK. Learn that there are many Scumbags hiding behind the First Amendment to promote hatred. Again, the BANKS SPENT OVER $100 MILLION........JUST FOR P.R. to make sure that the public stayed calm and DID NOT RUN ON THE BANKS AND CAUSE A BANK PANIC. THAT WAS THE PRICE TO PUT THOSE "FLYERS" AND "POSTERS" ABOUT "WE ARE Y2K READY" in 11,000 banks and 100s of thousands of branches. BIA ALONE SPENT $20 Million in areas the public couldn't even see to "influence the influence makers". They had a pool of $1 million each from the 20 largest banks in the US. THAT............FOR A PROBLEM YOU DON"T EVEN KNOW ABOUT. FEAR........FUD......and out and out BULL SHIT BY EXTREMISTS AND THEIR CAMP FOLLOWING "DOOM ZOMBIES".
Learn something about the Jerk Offs who were infesting the politicized waters of Y2k to promote their own views. Learn why the CIA/NSA had border patrols at every Airport and major entrance point to the US.

TRY THIS ON: 3 YES 3 OF BIN LADEN'S FANS WERE ARRESTED AT THE SEATTLE AIRPORT AND THEY PLANNED TO USE THE DISRUPTIONS OF THE ROLL- OVER TO PLANT AND SET OFF BOMBS. ALL 3 ARE NOW AWAY.

THE HEAD OF A WHITE SUPREMIST GROUP IN FLORIDA WITH MEMBERS IN 7 STATES WAS ARRESTED AND JAILED FOR PLOTTING THE BOMBING OF A ***NUKE POWER PLANT*** 1/1/2000.

YOU DON'T KNOW SQUAT, Jr.

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If approved as written, a Cincinnati-based constitutional attorney for the American Family Association of Ohio says he will challenge it... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=492 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- Leading a mission to alter Bible phrase that can hurt (PA) Thursday, August 09 @ 01:08:32 EDT The Philadelphia Inquirer reports a local man finds the portrayal of the Jewish people offensive. Ever since the early Christian era, Jews striving to comprehend their persecution by Crusaders, Cossacks, Nazis or village thugs have lamented their New Testament portrait as Christ-killers ."After this, Jesus traveled in Galilee, since He did not want to travel in Judea because the Jews were trying to kill Him." (John 7:1, Holman Christian Standard Bible). But unlike the millions who have shrugged off - or suffered under - the New Testament image of "the Jews," Irvin J. Borowsky is on a campaign to rid the Good Book of its dark depiction of his people... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=491 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- Gretna council requires equality (LA) Thursday, August 09 @ 01:08:32 EDT The Times-Picayune reports Gretna wants its businesses to know that discrimination based on race, sex and sexual orientation is not welcome and will not be tolerated within city limits. On Monday, the Gretna City Council became the first governmental body in Jefferson Parish to adopt an ordinance prohibiting discrimination in public businesses and the second municipality in Louisiana to draft legislation to prohibit discrimination against gay men and lesbians. If a business violates the law, the owner's business license can be suspended for a year. The ordinance, in many ways, mimics the federal Civil Rights Act of 1964, but city officials said they wanted to have a law of their own... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=490 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- Racist Md. Vandals No Match for Goodwill (MD) Thursday, August 09 @ 01:08:32 EDT The Washington Post reports the gently sloping, 10-acre plot in Crofton, now bisected by a private stretch of asphalt called Queen Mitchell Road, has been a family haven for a century. Seven pin-neat houses line the road, each built and occupied by descendants of Wesley Sylvester Turner, a tobacco farmer whose parents were slaves on a nearby plantation. This idyllic family compound has been rattled in recent days by vandals who spray-painted racist epithets in bright green letters on the home and car of Turner's grandson, David E. Queen Sr., a minister and retired paper factory manager... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=489 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- Racial tension surrounds Catholic athletic league vote (IL) Thursday, August 09 @ 01:08:32 EDT The Associated Press reports the Rev. Michael Pfleger believes the controversy over adding his predominantly black parish to a mostly white athletic league reaches back more than 30 years, to when the St. Sabina changed from an Irish-American stronghold. "I've gotten phone calls from people who said they (blacks) ran us out of St. Sabina and they're not going to run us out of St. Whatever now," Pfleger said. The long wrangle over St. Sabina joining the Southside Catholic Conference athletic league could end Thursday when conference members are scheduled to vote on a tentative agreement... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=488 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ---- Ala. Seeks to Confine Ex-Klansman (AL) Thursday, August 09 @ 01:08:32 EDT The Associated Press reports shortly after prosecutors asked a court Wednesday to confine a man accused in the 1963 church bombing that killed four black girls, demonstrators marched to demand the former Ku Klux Klansman be tried immediately. Prosecutors asked that Bobby Frank Cherry, accused of bombing the Sixteenth Street Baptist Church, be held at a state mental hospital until it is determined whether he is competent to stand trial... http://www.hatewatch.org/article.php?sid=487 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- ----

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

Wow, Loon, I guess this means that all the wackos on TB2K must have been rounded up and taken to jail. No wonder "there wasn't noooo trouble, noooo sir".

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

My Last Effort to Help My Family Get It Bombs....

greenspun.com : LUSENET : TimeBomb 2000 (Y2000) : One Thread
I have been trying to help my parents and two brothers (all live in the same house about 40 miles from me) to understand why it is important that they lay aside some supplies for the last year, to no avail. My dad almost got it, but then he got a happy face letter from his city government about how they were totally "Y2K Ready" (whatever the hell that means) and was satisfied.

Well, today, we were going on a two hour,each way road trip to go to my great aunt and great uncles 70th wedding anniversary (yep, they are in their 90's), so I decided that might be a good time since they would all be captive for two hours. I took some of the best information I could find, really low key stuff and brought up the subject quite gingerly. I also took Gold Real's argument/math about embedded chips posted here a few days ago. I started to read it out loud, since there seemed to be a slight bit of interest, but it was quite hard to read aloud, really something you need to read yourself. Soon my 15 yr old brother was prounouncing me paranoid and my 26 yr old brother was pronouncing me a freak, then I was a paranoid freak, much to their giggling glee. My 26 yr old bro was making jokes about me making a tin foil oven in the front yard. I pointed out I wouldn't be doing that in the FRONT yard and that just got more laughs and pronouncements of my paranoia. Dad is saying nothing, mom is mumbling about how nothing is going to happen because THEY HAVE FIXED EVERYTHING. (sigh) Just call me Cassandra. They don't really care what we do, how much food we have or anything, they just don't want to be bothered with doing it themselves. One thing, though: I got to my 15 yr old brother (great, person w/the least amt of influence in the entire family). He said he would be laughing and me and my husband all next year. I looked at him and very passionately said that I honestly hoped that he did. I really, really, really hoped that we would be laughed at next year. He stopped and I saw a noticable change in his face. I told him I have never in my whole life wanted to be wrong more than now. He looked very sobered, not laughing, not even smiling. I felt so bad, he honestly looked scared. But hell, I thought, if that;s what it takes to get them to have more than 2 freaking days of food in the house! He turned and stared out the window for the next 50 miles. When my 26 yr old brother brought it up again, thinking the other bro would be his partner in laughing at me again, he just said he didn't want to talk about it. (BTW, I also have a 20 yr old sister, but she is on and off drugs and only shows up at my parent's house when she is homeless, broke, hungry, or all three...hasn't shown up in a while and it is thought that she is running from bounced checks and living w/a 45 yr old man.)

My mother, I can tell, doesn't even want to entertain the notion that anything might go wrong. Her hold on normalcy is tentative on good days as it is. Her dad died of a massive heart attack while in church just a year ago (she was with him and she was incredibly close to him), and the whole thing with my sister depresses the hell outta her--Prozac all the way. My dad, like I said, came the closest to getting it this last spring, but tends to be swayed by the majority.

Oh, well. I was trying desperately to think of alternative plans, like inviting them here for New Year's Eve, but we have only prepped for two adults and one child. Our food and water would last a much shorter time and there would obviously be more space, privacy and sanitation problems with 4 extra adults. Besides, they wouldn't come to our house for New Year's Eve. We do wish we could think of a single friend that would come here under the guise of celebrating (or hey even a GI friend, if we had one) so that we could have one extra adult with us. The only one we know of is active Army and couldn't come here anyway. He is not GI. Gave my husband a case of MRE's recently, thinking my husband has gotten interested in hunting and backcountry hiking. (another big sigh)

I am getting frustrated with my family, I have taken such a low- key approach to this, yet they are oblivious. I sometimes feel like saying, fine forget it, I have tried everything I know short of buying the food and supplies for you myself, but I can't afford it, so you are on your own.

Sorry this rambles, it's late, I am brain dead and worried.

Please tell me someone else is in this situation, feeling this way...wish so much we could figure out just one or two (max) adult friends who would come over before 12/31 who would be good to have around if TSHTF.



-- preparing (preparing@home.com), November 06, 1999

Answers

Look, you are not alone in this situation. I have a mother and SEVEN brothers and sisters. NONE of them will do anything at all. I first began to explain to them about this more than TWO years ago in September of 1997.

I explained in explicit detail. No avail. It is not a matter of intelligence or anyhting like that. It is simply this: They do NOT want to understand.

They could not care less.

I do not feel ONE iota of compassion towards a one of them. Not a drop. I will empathize with what they go through but I will not sympathize with them in the slightest. They deserve what they are about to get.

Everyone is obligated to review the evidence. They would BARELY do that. And so superficially that it would not have made a difference anyway.

If someone cared enough about them to go out of their way to warn them, suffer the indignity of their ill informed ridicule.....then I wash my hands of them. Period.

They deserve what they are about to get. In spades. If any one of them showed up begging for help, so help me, I would throw them out. They refused to help when it was time to prepare, now let them suffer the consequences of their own well deserved foolishness.

You can sit there and say that it is heartless to treat your 'own' family like that. And, I say, that they are NOT family if they do not ACT like family.

Paul Milne "If you live within 5 miles of a 7-11, you're toast"

-- Paul Milne (fedinfo@halifax.com), November 06, 1999.


Preparing, and Paul

I rarely touch this type of thread as it is to dear to my heart. I have talked to my father, my brother and my two sisters... the sisters claim that it is their husbands that will keep them from preparing....

We will prepare for Y3K was the response from my youngest sisters husband.

The oldest sister lives close enough, 20min by car, that I must worry about her, she works for a hospital, I hope they will need her and provide for her family....

It is all that keeps me going... these are trying times

Things will get worse before they get better....

-- Helium (Heliumavid@yahoo.com), November 06, 1999.


You sound a little depressed. I think it's prudent to mention your concerns to your family. Obviously some members of your family are insensitive. I have experienced this myself, to a lesser degree of course and with a different end result. It could be that you are upset about more than y2k. I hope you do realize that life will go on after y2k, maybe not in the same way as now, but it will go on. I guess the best thing I can suggest for you is to keep preparing in your own way. You must realize that not everyone is going to agree with you. It's also a good idea to utilize your network of friends. If you do not have a lot of friends to talk to, try making some new friends. Y2k does not have to be brought up. Y2k has the nasty habit of forcing us to become prisoners of it. Other interests are important to. It might be a good idea to go see some funny movies. Personally, I like to go bowling on the weekends to take my mind off of it. It does not make the problem go away per se, but it does take your mind of it for a while. Keep your spirits up and don't give up on your family. There's always hope. Good luck.

-- rc white (cw5410@netscape.net), November 06, 1999.

I can relate to your plight. My mother and I have been trying to convince my brother to prepare just for his children's sake, but to no avail. Mom left printouts around her house that I shared with her, and she mentioned it from time to time when he stopped over to visit.

My mother gave up a couple of months ago, and is buying more stuff last-minute. I've helped my mother (75 yrs od)for over a year now with errands, extra wood, expanding the garden area, checking things and whatnot. We've assumed that our brother's family won't contribute much, if anything, to our efforts, but are expecting him to bug out to her place regardless.

Another family note: I posted here in June that my grandmother had a stroke and that we had to put her in a home. She was aware of Y2k and worrying about it a lot. When she passed away in late June, we actually heaved a big sigh of relief. It sounded sort of cold saying "that is one less person we have to prep for"...but if things get ugly, I'm sure that many can relate to this.

I'm glad I don't have children to worry about. I pray every night for a BITR, for the sake of my brother and his family. If I had children and even had the slightest doubt about the outcome, I'd be prepping just for their sake.

-- Tim (pixmo@pixelquest.com), November 06, 1999.


At least my 78-year-old Mom gets it. Then today just went shopping with a good friend to work on getting some camping gear together... in case changing locations is not "optional."

My sister in Arizona just laughs. I can only *hope* she'll be okay. Other cousins and relatives, don't even want to go there. Sad.

At some point, you just have to let go... and bless them on their soul's journey.

(They may have to "get it" on the other side of the life divide).

C'est-ce la vie. Or not.

;-(

Diane

-- Diane J. Squire (sacredspaces@yahoo.com), November 06, 1999.


Preparing --

Amen to the wish/prayer to be WRONG. We have a daughter who refuses to listen. We hope that her husband will bring her around, but we can't become to closely involved for fear of alienating the daughter. All we could do was 'start the ball rolling' and hope (and pray).

I have friends who have seen the light. But they are overwhelmed at the problem and refuse to do much of anything. The reasons for not doing anything are bountiful.

Here is hoping that your family turns around, or that the situation doesn't require it.

-- just another (another@engineer.com), November 06, 1999.


I live in a small town outside of Bangor, Maine. I went to SAMS tonite to get another flat of staples.

Get this, Saturday night in Sam's Wholesale Club, November 6, 1999 - 55 days prior to THE rollover and the beginning of the worst economic crisis' this country has seen since the 30's - Y2K folks! Well, I was there from 6:00 P.M. until 8:45 P.M. Not ONE other person during that time was seen pushing a flat. The shoppers that were using carts appeared to not have much in them in the way of what could even be construed as preparedness or items needed for survival.

I now firmly believe what I've heard about most people waiting until the end of December before getting ready or the fact that only 1% are actually going to prepare seriously.

'Preparing',......your family is like most everyone's family, they cannot change their thinking now, otherwise they would have to admit all kinds of scary things they need to do or should have done in the last year. Keep getting ready - it's your obligation to yourself, your family, friends and your country. Don't push anybody at this point. Believe me, they'll be coming around soon - along with the rest of the USA and the world. Real soon.

-- Steve Kingster (stillshopping@nov.net), November 06, 1999.


I too tire of trying to get my family and friends to just prudently prepare just in case. We all must feel like the ant workings his keester off while all the grasshoppers sing, play and make jokes.

-- DGBennett (bennett1@peachnet.net), November 07, 1999.

We are all in the same boat preparing, we cant compete with the propaganda machine the Govt and media have installed to get our family members attention on this severe life threatening issue. Y2k will be the world's wake up call.

We have to look at God's word for wisdom and comfort in these last days before the CDC. When in the Bible when God sent his angles to LOT's house to warn him to leave because of the impending distruction that was about to occur where he was living and he and his wife were warned not look back. Remember what happened to Lot's wife when she looked back she turned to salt and perished. This was written in the bible as a warning to us. Soceity as in Lot's time has grow wicked and foolish. They will not heed the warnings of the humble servants who are acting on God's word to sound the alarm that There is a problem that needs our utmost attention,diligence and honesty to deal with. They are to stiff necked and attached to the lie of the false prosperity that corp america has spun. They built there house on sand instead of seeking the Rock of truth. You tried with all your heart to warn them, now leave them in God's hands. You take care of what God has intrusted to you and dont turn back.

Every prudent man acts with knowledge but a fool lays open his folly Proverbs 13:16

The fear of the Lord is the beginning of Knowledge but FOOLS despise wisdom and instruction Proverbs 1:7

God's word makes it clear. If they dont heed wisdom they are fools, Love them in your heart but let them go. Remeber what happenened in Germany to the Jews who saw the trouble coming and didnt take heed of the train coming down the tracks with the facism that was taking hold in the Governments at that time. Watch the actions not the words. History is repeating itself. media is controlled by the power elite (suppression of freedom of the press) People incarcerated in arizona are not being release from prision when their time is up but moved into a privatised holding insitutions. We cant get a decent townhall on y2k to answer the important community preparedness questions These are warnings that our consititution is in serious trouble. If your family cant wrap there mind around that there is nothing you can do. I wish you peace in our Lord Jesus The Christ.

-- y2k aware mike (mailto:y2k%20aware%20mike%20@%20conservation%20.%20com), November 07, 1999.


Preparing, there's nothing really you can do. People either can see the implications and are motivated to act, or they slip into the mass denial and push it away.

For some reason our family GI'd this year and have been steadily incrementally preparing. They have this competitive spirit and have gone much farther than we can -- generators, wood stoves, goats, barns, chickens, guns galore, etc. It's kinda funny; they understand it less, but have more $$ and instinctively know what to aim for.

Ashton is a dynamite hellfire animated Y2K prodder and has gotten many people to prepare at least for a month of "like a subduction earthquake." But still there are patients with whom we live for weeks who refuse to entertain the thought that anything can change over the next decades, except higher pill prices and more medical griping ...

-- Ashton & Leska in Cascadia (allaha@earthlink.net), November 07, 1999.


I have been on this wagon since Dec 17/97. In that time I have influence up to 100 people on an email list which I said goodbye to in Mar - too much $$$$. I have had success with my family. We are at ease now, they have prepared. When they come out to our farm, they will come with provisions. We are ready and try to go on with a normal life.

-- Tony (mailto:I'm%20done% 20@some.listen), November 07, 1999.

My oldest brother is convinced nothing will happen because he saw the Dept. of Energy Secretary holding up the big "9/9/99" sign and saying that it was just like Y2K.

-- Hawk (flyin@high.again), November 07, 1999.

Sometimes I wonder... what will people be able to buy after they have maxed out their credit cards and spent all their cash on Chirstmas presents?

-- Stan Faryna (faryna@groupmail.com), November 07, 1999.

You can pick your friends but you cannot pick your family. Don't let Y2K affect your relationship with your family. It is still too early to worry about what is going to happen. Accept your family they way they are or you will be even more upset if they choose to turn you away if Y2K is just a BITR.

BTW, even some of the so-called experts are backing off from 1/1/2000 being the trigger date, so if it does get bad, you may have more time to convince your family that there is something wrong.

Just let it go for now.

-- Lurking on the sidelines (mailto:Alw@ys% 20lurking.com), November 07, 1999.


My son knew about y2k,but wasn't preparing for it.I finally gave up trying to get him to prep for y2k,except to tell him if things got bad,that he and his wife and 5 kids could always move in with his dad and step mom or his grama and granpa.Those were the magic words,because he started buying stuff right after that and bought a house instead of renting.I was so relieved.

-- Maggie (aaa@aaa.com), November 07, 1999.

preparing:

I must commiserate with you. This evening I tried again with my family, and was laughed at again. "What will you do if the power goes out?" "Oh, it went out for a few days a couple of years back. We just went to visit some friends across town until they put the wires back up." Sigh. "What if the whole town loses power?" "Oh, that won't happen." "Well, shouldn't you have at least some heat source just in case?" (These people are in Buffalo!) "Nah, you're being silly. Nothing will happen."

Unlike Paul Milne, I'm deeply concerned about my family. I'm very unlikely to be in any position to help them (from 1000 miles away) if they need help. And clearly my efforts to get them to help themselves are falling on deaf ears. Very sad.

-- Flint (flintc@mindspring.com), November 07, 1999.


preparing--How about borrowing money from your parents and brother and using it to set aside some preps for them. Tell them it is for something else... Really, people here have said how much they can buy with only small amounts of money. You will feel better if you do it, I think.

-- Mara (MaraWayne@aol.com), November 07, 1999.

In August I flew home for a family reunion. I took copies of Faith's letter to her family. When we were all sitting around after working on an outdoor project -- I talked to them about the situation. gave them Faith's letter and the fun began.

They literally rolled around on the grass -- they ask me why I would let anyone know I was storing food etc. Wasn't I afraid they would come and get it???

My answer was that it was a long walk. And if I didn't try to take care of the my family, what kind of person was I??

The only family decision made on that day was this, they are all going in on a telephone conference call at 9:00 am January 1, 2000 to say Naaaaaa Naaaaaa Na Naaaaaaaaaaa Na to me.

I softly said "I Hope You can!" nothing else was said about Y2k.

-- ALURKER (nobody@nowhere.com), November 07, 1999.


Preparing, I know just how you feel. Both my mom, sister and her family in NY tell me how the govt. would never let this happen. I have tried to GI them but to no avail. Now my mom has money. She's gone on cruises this year, to Alaska and elsewhere. My sister and her husband pull in over $120,000 year. They said they will prep for a few days (just to shut me up) but they don't really believe. Mostly I feel sorry for their 16 year old son. I live in VA and have just enough preps for my family on my limited budget. Even my own 18 year old daughter who lives on her own doesn't GI. But I've secretly prepped for her and told her she is welcome (and I pray) she comes here. She plans on partying the night away Dec. 31st and wanted to take my 13 year old with her. I told her NO WAY! My family from NY are coming to visit this Friday for 2 days. I'll keep trying.

Preparing, you've done the best you could as we all have. I won't feel guilty, sad yes, but not guilty. I understand that you want so much for them to be prepped, but if they choose not to by rollover, let it go. I'm sure we've all helped some people to GI and even though it may not be our own families, it's someone elses. Just know that you are not alone and we all feel as you do in one way or the other.

-- Debi (LongTimeLurker@shy.com), November 07, 1999.


Yes, I know what you mean preparing. My father is a dgi. He refuses to listen! I've also tried to warn friends, to no avail, they also DWGI... I tried to warn an economic prof friend of mine, showing him that the banks were behind, all he did waas mock me to his class! I give up on trying to warn people, if they suffer it's their own fault, the bloods' off my hands. I WILL NOT indanger my own life to try to help them, they are fools. The only exception if for my immedate family. The rest are on their own...

-- Crono (Crono@timend.com), November 07, 1999.

From my perspective, honoring family means honoring their choices and allowing them the consequences of their choices.

Extra preps of basic grains and beans are cheap if you have space for them and having extra puts you in the position of abundance - and gives you something to give a neighbor or family who GI when the lights go out and their are gasoline shortages.

For myself, I have prepared as best I can for my husband and myself, adding extra to be able to help.

"leting go and letting God" has helped me tremendously. Remembering your family has a higher power you can intrust them to, and have their own journey and destiny may help you release them to God's care and concentrate on taking care of yourself and family.

Blessings and peace to you.

-- Leslie (***@***.net), November 07, 1999.


You care but Darwin doesn't. That's why Darwin its Darwin's Law. Remember, not everyone is going to survive.

Anonymous

-- anonymous (anonymous@anonymous.com), November 07, 1999.


Paul Milne RIGHT ON BUDDY - I COULDN'T HAVE PUT IT BETTER MYSELF. Just who do these people think they are? I mean, your mother, and siblings? LET THEM DIE, UNTHINKING IDIOTS. They disagree with you, refuse to listen to you, chose their path - they deserve DEATH and nothing less. DON'T GIVE THEM A THING, PAUL, WHEN THINGS GET TOUGH. Not a drop of water, a scrap of food. NOTHING. Watch them suffer (especially your mother, what did she ever do for you?) maybe die slowly in front of you. ENJOY. Remember, YOU are right, and THEY are wrong. It will be YOUR justification, Paul. Oh Paul, I admire you so much. Your strength & conviction; your lack of compasssion gives me goose bumps of envy. Will you be our new leader, Paul,? Lead us onwards to a new world, a world where we can bury our stupid, DWTGI mothers and brothers and sisters in the same pit. ZEIG HEIL, OH GREAT LEADER!!!!!!!!

-- Asking (mailto:Asking@a% 20question.com), November 07, 1999.

PAUL MILNE -- with your haughty and unloving attitude -- why would anyone ever want to HEAR ANYTHING FROM YOUR MOUTH? Most people, even if they are making fun of you, will listen when compassion and concern are displayed.

PREPARING--i don't know if you are a christian but now would be a good time to pray for your family--that they would see and understand. honestly, it can do amazing things and lately i am seeing more and more instances of god working directly with folks because of someone's prayer for them-- without anyone saying anything to them. i have lots of people on my "y2k nonbelieving" prayer list. plus sometimes in the middle of the night, that "still small voice" wakes me up and tells me what to do/how to do it for them.

just remember, we still really don't know what is going to happen and just because someone doesn't prepare doesn't mean they are automatically sentenced to death. we just don't know. it could mean that things will be really hard for them but that doesn't necessarily kill us--sometimes those incredibly awful and hard experiences are the beginning of a new life with new direction/attitude. i personally felt my most important preparation was to be spiritually ready and have an unbroken/right relationship with god so that i can hear his directions and so that i am NOT outside his circle of blessing/protection.

here is one idea--silly as it may be--if you normally buy christmas presents for them--take that same amount of money and go shopping now while things are so cheap--and buy them food and some large cheap HDPE wastebaskets for emergency water storage. get lots of pasta, macaroni and cheese, canned milk and foods, TP, etc. candles. fill the wastebasket with the supplies and slap a BIG RED BOW ON IT. (you are lucky you are close enough to drive it over there) plus throw in some emergency flyers such as robert waldrop or the red cross put out- -plus maybe some articles as to why they should prepare. may stun them and they'll think you are nuts--but come on--the thought counts, right? and they can always eat the food later even if they don't believe.

-- tt (cuddluppy@yahoo.com), November 07, 1999.


There appear to be three major choices here ITSHTF: you can wash your hands of them; you can prepare for them; or you can share what you have with them.

Luckily, my immediate family (husband, father, son, The Hungarian) all Get It. One or two family members who DGI and who are likely to turn up after the rollover are one thing, but four or five (or more) extra may be very difficult to provide for. I agree with some of the sentiments expressed above- -if you have tried your best to tell them to prepare for an emergency and they have laughed in your face, you cannot waste any more time on them. And if they turn up at your door and you have not been able to afford to put aside any food for them, they will have to fend for themselves at FEMA food handouts. Cruel? Callous? Not necessarily. If it were me, I do not see why my spouse and children should be penalized for the sake of someone who was too lazy to prepare-and not only too lazy but so callous as to sneer at my prudent preparations.

With luck, the situation will not be nearly that bad. This is only a hypothetical situation at the moment. Buy extra food for them if you can; if not, steel yourself to protect your spouse and children.

-- Old Git (anon@spamproblems.com), November 07, 1999.


Remember to consider reality. When the family comes seeking help, if you tell them to go away (for myriad reasons, just cause, can't help them but want to, etc.) I doubt most will go away.

They will be desperate, humbling themselves to go to you for help. Most will not be humble, mind you, human nature would dictate they'll be angry at themselves and blaming others, including you. THey will angry in a bad way if there is no other option for them and te situation seems very threatening. So what are you going to do?

Will you greet them with a gun? You might not have time to fetch one after you inform them you can't help them ("You mean won't! And you call yourself a Christian?!!"). You must never ever pull a gun on a person unless you are willing and ready to kill that person. Are you?

If things get bad, which is very possible if not probable, there is terrible ugliness ahead to prepare for. Ugly to shoot your brother and sister and a parent. Ugly to have critical supplies needed for your children shared/taken with DWGI and then face the suffering of your own children that could have been avoided. Ugly situations in short term (killing family/friends that turn angry) or ugly situations later. ANother complicating factor is that if power goes out you won't have much idea of when it goes back on. In some video stores is a video of Twilight Zone episodes, one has a family with a prepared nuke shelter and a missle warning is given and the DWGI neighbors (mocking in past) demand to be allowed in, break down doors. The prepared won't let them in because to do so would negate any purpose in the shelter for surviving. The warning turns out false.

We have a socialist country - everyone is owed a living, owed a meal and a place to live. The mindset is there for demanding and ugly confrontations. And the relationships between the nieghbors in the Zone would never be the same after their short experience. People were desperate, to protect their children, their wives, theirselves. Desparate. The prepared were determined to survive also.

You prepared physically.

Are you prepared mentally?

Are you prepared spiritually to deal with this?

-- NoOne IKnow (NoOne@home.gov), November 07, 1999.




-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

We have sort of a mixed bag here where I am. My father and one sister sort of GI, and have some (what I consider) minimal preps, including a fair amount of food. But the rest of the local relatives are D/DW GI's. They number about 20. The non-local sibs, who have also said 'if TSHTF, we will come to your house' (which will, in my mind, constitute a thousand mile journey of EPIC proportions), also number about 20.

We are very lucky in that we (my wife and I and our chrildren (3 and 2)) at this time have the good financial fortune to be able to prep on a large scale (I am sometimes embarressed at how large). They all know this, and we constitute their ENTIRE contingicy plan. Do I resent their attitude? YES. Will I cut them loose? NO. Not when it is within my power to help. They may not find 'Camp Pinkrock' the luxury resort they would wish, but they won't starve or freeze and will have clean water to drink. I believe it is my duty to do this.

Most people are like sheep. I guess I am more like a dog. Some kind of a herding dog ( I hate to say 'shepherd', but I guess it's accurate). I see that they are oblivious to the smell of danger in the wind, and are powerless to defend themselves. I am compelled to try and protect them, despite their sheepish nature.

I could have slammed the door in all of their faces, and had one whale of a bomb-proof bunker, enough to resist even a small scale military invasion. But I realized long ago that I could never live with myself if I made that kind of decision. What if, when I emerged, their corpses and bones were piled on my doorstep? It would take a heart of stone to say 'I have empathy, but no sympathy; they deserve what they got.'

You must do what you can, but you must also recognize your limitations, and accept them. Do what you can in your own small corner of the world, and pray for everyone else.

They're going to need

Godspeed.

-- Pinkrock (aphotonboy@aol.com), November 07, 1999.


years go i gave up on attempting to convert people to my way of thinking. the only people i will devote any time to are those members of my immediate family. if one contemplates the millions of potential converts "out there" only an evangelist would get excited at the challenge they present. it is better to quietly proceed with preps as your family watches. speak to them gently as they are loved ones. if they were raised in anything resembling the manner in which i was raised they will pick up on the sincerity of your efforts and think: "hey! he is really concerned about this." they usually pitch in... especially if you don't have a long standing reputation as the village idiot. i have told family for years that even the animals of the woods make preparations for winter. that is about as far as they can be expected to go being "just animals" but contrary to what uncle remus said they are not just acting naturally. when a cold wind blows through the barren winter trees the squirrels are scurrying big time to fill their bellies as are the deer and other critters.

don't waste your precious time and resources on ringing a y2k bell. work your buns hard and keep your trap shut. there isn't much time left and we are preparing for the unknown. in preparing for the unknown there is no time at which one can say: "that is sufficient ... stop." family will catch on. i realize it is drastically different for those living in apartments and subdivisions than for those in the deep woods but prepare as you can. there is little time left.

-- clayton (ratchetass@hotmail.com), November 07, 1999.


I,ve been beating the drum for a couple of years, mostly to no avail. My immediate family gets it but few others in the clan believe. Even in the face of the growing incidents of glitches, on our home systems and on the large systems we use at work, most folks just can't believe that the game board can tilt as much as it is going to. Fortunately, I live in a small community in Northern California and there are many folk here who know how to do things to help most of us get by. For those family members who live outside the area, well, I'll miss the ones who DGI.

-- michael frazier (mfrazier@pacific.net), November 07, 1999.

I won't let anyone starve if I feel I am in a position to help without endangering myself. Most of my family is prepared so that helps. I'm expecting a diaster next door. It's a senior citizen, his wife has cancer and is an invalid, they don't have a dime due to medical costs, and his blind 91 year old mother is on the other side of the community that he feeds. They don't have any adult children just the wifes' sister about 800 miles away. I never mentioned Y2K. What would be the point he is in no shape to "prepare?"

-- Paula (chowbabe@pacbell.net), November 07, 1999.

Preparing--

I too have been in a similiar situation. My younger brother thinks its all a scam. My youngest brother is somewhat always prepared, I don't worry to much about him. My older brother has done nothing, but I still hold out hope. My mom, lets just say I finally had to say, "Mom, I know you don't think its going to be anything big with Y2k - fine, we can agree to disagree. Just please stock and prepare because you love me. If not for any other reason, do it for me!" I hate to use the "guilt" thing to coerce, but at this late date I feel better knowing she's covered the basics. Sending you best wishes!

-- karla (karlacalif@aol.com), November 07, 1999.


I can empathize with many of the posters on this forum....and with you preparing. I have to brothers in IT jobs who say "No big deal." But they are not involved in anything remotely close to mission critical jobs.

Nevertheless, my mom who lives in Florida who is careful to prepare for hurricanes, doesn't really want to hear about Y2K. My dad -- who usually is a conspiracy buff/anti-government type, is frozen with fear over where to even begin. My parents live on his modest income and are up to their eyeballs in debt, so spending $1000s on prep is out of the question as far as they are concerned.

The one thing that gives me peace of mind is that they belong to a fairly mainstream but strong Protestant church community. This church is often involved in emergency relief programs in the community so they are used to helping in a crisis. Also, the church evolved from and "End of the world" sect in the 1800's so fin de sicle preparations are not out of the ordinary for them.

FWIW, I'm lucky that my partner and her dad (whom I live with) have been preparing for Y2K for months. Gallons of stored water, a shed full of wood, an installed wood stove, rations, cash and some gold. We all believe that we're better safe than sorry and we'd be glad to be wrong. We'll eat the rations anyway .... and the wood could always serve us next year.

My colleagues at work ridiculed me from the start (and they are JOURNALISTS!) so I've completely stopped mentioning it to them. In fact, I've ceased to tell ANYONE that we are prepared in our home, lest they come over and what to "share".

We thought it was sensible to have extra stored away for our neighbors and family (about 10 extra gallons of water ... and some canned goods). They will remember our generosity if they decide to stay in their homes and reject government help (if there is any). We love them and would want to help where we could.

We will not put ourselves into jeopardy, though. Our large boxer/lab dog and our .22 and .38 will give us some help if necessary.

Sorry to go on and on. January 1 ... or even the 2nd 3rd or 4th may be just fine. Myself, I'm thinking if we make it to 1/31, then we can breathe easy.

Thanks for listening...

C

-- Cassandra (Prepared@home.com), November 07, 1999.


Have the pollies here considered their moral obligations IF TSHTF.

If you have a GI sibling with spouse and you suddenly move yourself and your spouse in with them, then their six months of supplies are now only three months worth. What kind of human being would endanger their neices, nephews, siblings etc to escape the consequences of their own irresponsible decisions?

If you wish to do nothing and/or mock those who do prepare then at least be man enough to live with your choice and not expect others to endanger their families to pull you out the mess you insisted on getting yourself into dispite their warnings.

I cannot understand why it is the GI's who are being held up to moral scrutiny. Will they or will they not take in their DGI relatives. I think it is the DGI's whose moral character should be questioned. Will you endanger other loved ones to cover your own ignorant asses?

I consider all the children to be exceptions and will do what I can to bring in the children of DGI's. But as for the adults. You and only you are responsible for you actions.

Say what you want but mean what you say

-- thomas thatcher (jabawaki@erols.com), November 07, 1999.


Paula,

When you spoke of your neighbors--it brought tears to my eyes.You brought the problems of not only them,but so many in their condition to the fore.It is heartbreaking to think of.

-- Maggie (aaa@aaa.com), November 07, 1999.


---I have a couple of things that have worked for me, to some extent or another: 1- I put the ball in their court on two fronts...first I ask them when was the last time any government or any big business told the truth about anything important........... that get's em thinking...thinking real hard, because big bro and big biz's track record with the truth is pretty dismall, everyone knows that... ..then I say, like i did in a thread below, that I can afford to be wrong, but folks who FAIL to take some serious precautions and preparations CANNOT be wrong, that they are committed to a course of action, that if they are wrong will lead to major personal suffering and even a hideous death of some sort. They (and any denialist) can't afford to be wrong, and this is a 50/50 deal at a minimum (I think it's a lead pipe cinch it will be bad, but this is just my opinion) --the other thing I did was go to the archives at artbell show, and tape the gary north interviews, editing out the commercials, or, if in a hurry, just send away and you can buy the tapes. It's been my experience with several dgi's and dwgi's that those interviews,IF you can get them to sit still and listen-will work, and the call in question and answer sessions, answer a lot of questions. I have had pretty dismal luck with printouts-it's not "real" to most folks. It's really hard with folks not on the net, too. they get zero news, so "all of this" is just too much. ---my dad started to initially give me grief right off the bat with those same stoopid little flyers that he got from the bank, etc, and I laid it on the line for him, told him I gave crap one how he "felt", I reminded him that I had thousands of hours research,he had about one hour total, and that HE was responsible for MY MOTHER"S safety, and I would HOLD him responsible. No threats, just that statement. That worked in that regard, at least i know they got a whopper pantry full, and water, and a way to recharge batteries. Best I could do there. My bros are both retired career military, and have had uncle sugar take care of them their entire adult lives, so there wasn't any getting through to them at all, there's no frame of reference. bigbro is god to them, the provider of all things...sad.... My sisters I laid the same rap on my brother in laws, that THEY were responsible for my sister's safety. Surprisingly, because they are both intelligent guys and would actually go to all the various links, etc., this worked. I emailed them with the links for two weeks, they both "got it" quite readily, and are as prepared as any normal middle class folks can get-they took it serious, and frequently ask me specific survival type questions, etc. some major family sacrifices there, but I am resting easy on that one. those families are better off than 99.999% of the population right now, but it took two years of preps on their part. As to dwgi "friends", well, I moved, have not told them where, and have warned all of them before I left to NOT even try and find me if TSHTF, that they can be cannibal food for all I care. And I meant it, too. Most of the dwgi people I know are pc clone weenie puter "experts". hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha --good luck and better skill, you have done what you could, and brace yourself for a lot of heartache, it will be inevitable. Help your local community and neighbors instead, and I heartily recommend that you belong to a survival group for mutual support, diversification of skills, and for self defense. Best I can offer you.

zog the preparer

-- zog (zzoggy@yahoo.com), November 07, 1999.


Thanks everyone...it is cold comfort to know we are all in this boat together, but comfort nevertheless.

Paul Milne: Lemme explain something. I just found my dad and mom (really she is my stepmother, consider her to be my mother, though) about 18 months ago. To make a long story short, when I was 7, my biological mother and her boyfriend literally took us in the middle of the night and ran. She obtained a divorce from my dad and he tried and tried to get us, but despite the fact that she basically kidnapped us, the courts wouldn't let him have full custody (this was 1976--moms always got full rights, damn the consequences back then)we lived far away and being a blue collar guy w/out a lot of $$ couldn't come see us very often w/out losing his job (he worked construction back then). The few times he made it out there she conveniently had us gone somewhere beforehand ("Oh, sorry you JUST missed them.") Biological mom was and is mentally ill (borderline personality disorder) and the stepdad was and is an alcoholic (his nickname is Pop Top--he just lost his 3rd job in as many months and is inches away from being a bum on the street. He has attempted suicide 5 times that I know of.) Anyway, the 26 yr old brother and I had the kind of childhood you see in a bad made for TV movie--abuse, neglect, the whole nine yards. I have more horror stories than anyone I know. Polaroids that CPS took in the late 70's early 80's of my brother and myself with black eyes, broken arms, bruised backs (my brother once almost died when he was 9 from a blow to the kidney by the drunk stepfather.) CPS, however, never did take us away from them. To this day I do not know why. When I was 18 I went to college full scholarship (I knew school was my only way out) and got my degree in English and my teaching certification. I met my wonderful husband and got years of therapy. I have nothing to do with the bio mom and stepdad. Meanwhile about 18 months ago, I FOUND my dad and stepmom. I had lost track of where they lived and they obviously didn't know where we were. There were enough tears to drown several grown men. We were so thrilled to finally be a family again. (I met my stepmother when I was young and saw her a few times back then, she was always nicer to me than my own "mother".) They had a daughter and son (my 20 yr old sister and 15 yr old brother) and we became very close very quickly. Remember, I was 7 when we were nabbed so I knew my dad very well and was very close to him (read: Daddy's girl). It has been like we were never apart. My 26 yr old brother was laid off and they invited him to move into their house (huge). He did and they were thrilled, now he is going to college full time which he never had a chance to do. Anyway, my point is I JUST GOT THEM BACK IN MY LIFE!!! It breaks my heart to think anything might happen to them now. And yes, I know, if things aren't too bad, they will be ok. But they have ZERO extra water and only about 2 days of food in the house. Both mom and 15 yr old brother are asthmatics who need medication. I even tried to warn the stepdad at one time, he laughed, of course.

rc white: yes of course I am depressed, but it about the possible ramifications of Y2K, not anything else. I LOVE my life the way it is, things are going grand except for this dark shadow called Y2K hanging over it. I do have things I do to take my mind off of it, but it doesn't help much, esp the closer we get.

Lurking: why would my family turn away from me if Y2K is a BITR? So I get laughed at a little, my family isn't the kind that would turn their backs on me b/c I tried to warn them of a potential danger.

Mara: As far as borrowing $$ from them and buying preps for them goes, that is pretty much out. They don't have any extra due to living the gotta have it lifestyle everyone is so fond of. We HAVE bought as much as we possibly can, to the point of being able to afford NOTHING extra for anything b/c of all the preps we continue to buy. I don't get out of the grocery store for less than $150 and I go ONCE a week! Just to afford that, my husband is working extra overtime trying to make as much as he can for this. If Y2K is nothing or a BITR, he is going to stop working overtime and go back to school part time, as he was doing.

No One I KNow: if they show up, of course I would take them in, but here is my concern (and this is directed to everyone, tell me if I am wrong in this thinking) ---if things are bad enough for them to come to my house looking for food, they are not going to be able to make it here. Here's why I say that: they live in a suburb on one side of Dallas, we live in a suburb on another side of Dallas. A good 45 miles of interstate, loops, and highways inbetween, some going right through Dallas. There is some kind of strange sociological phenomenon whereby when things get crazy, people tend to get in their cars and drive. Where to, they might not even know. But they do. The traffic will be so bad, I don't think they could get here in a day. And what will people be acting like in that traffic? I drive to that suburb every day since I work there and it takes 1 hr 15 minutes with rush hour traffic, and that is with using the HOV lanes. Of course, if they do manage to get here, we will welcome them with open arms and pray our food and water lasts long enough (it's the water I would be most worried about). Any other family members, I;m afraid, would have to fend for themselves. That would be very hard to do, but I have talked to EVERYONE in my extended family as far back as 14 months ago, to no avail. I really doubt they will all be showing up, though.

Thanks again, everyone for your words of commiseration. Now here's hoping I can make a MAJOR donation to a food pantry with a big smile on my face around February.

-- preparing (preparing@home.com), November 07, 1999.


This is a test of character, with even greater tests of character ahead requiring sacrifice, courage and patience.

-- snooze button (alarmclock_2000@yahoo.com) , November 07, 1999.

preparing, please keep all your preps, including food, at least until September 2000. The economical devastation of Y2K may take that long to snowball into a massive depression. Should be obvious by March though.

-- January (just@the.beginning), November 07, 1999.

I have three adult childern. I started last January bringing up the y2k issue. Little or no response, over the months I tried to broach the subject with them. Sometimes I was met with humor, poor mom. Other times silence. And then "don't get yourself all worked up." So the first week of Oct., I mailed them each a Christmas card with a check and a note in it, stating it was their gift to do as they wish but would they please consider getting some supplies in. I told them I would gladly eat crow if I was wrong about y2k although I have a lot of beans to eat also. One thanked us and never mentioned y2k another thanked us and filled her oil tank and used the remainder to buy a second hand snowmobile, the third ripped up the check. I'm sorry to rant on but we live on a fixed income and this was the only way we thought we would get a response.I'm glad yet sorry that others have the same problem, not that someone is going to suffer but that we seem to be a voice crying in the wind.

-- rmoose (hybrmoose@ctel.net), November 07, 1999.

Grasshoppers are stupid idiots who will attack the prepared ants during the coming hard times.

-- Randolph (dinosaur@williams- net.com), November 07, 1999.

rmoose -- I am dreadfully sorry about the ripped up check. Gads, I can only imagine how that must've hurt. I'm guessing that you understand it properly as a measure of the deep subcortical fear your adult child may be experiencing. Still, it's gotta hurt, just as the "poor mom" attitude must. I, like you, never proselytize with my husband and resident adult child. Never have. I've only given them articles, but those go have gone unread. What has caught their attention is, I have sold some non-essential possessions that they *know* are meaningful to me in order to prepare for them. They hear that, and it has caused them to partially hear the more cautionary messages in society at large. Your post was not a "rant." I found it extraordinarily worthy of respect.

Flint -- wow. Your post has likely caused some people who are paralyzed by ambiguity and fear to get serious about prepping. That was mighty cool.

preparing -- I think that if moral courage were easy, more people would have it. As a keep against any bad feelings (which are almost inevitably the result of being mocked) I hope at least you credit yourself with that courage. I realize it is but a small keep against the deep worry that your loved ones might undergo unpleasant times. However, it is quite possible that one result of your demonstration of courage is that it might show up later in life in your younger brother. Unfortunately, you never can know where the influence and demonstration of courage ends up.

-- (resigned@this.point), November 07, 1999.


Thanks for sharing your lot. My family is on the opposite coast (next door to the Trident Sub Base) and I've gone through the same thing. Recently, I sent 3 packets of "scare" material to them, since words haven't been effective. I sent it to one sister to give to the other two families. She has not given out the packets...As a last resort their Christmas presents will be a scanner, wind-up powered radio and flashlight. Maybe they will be a bit more prepared for the next hurricane considering they just went through Floyd! That impressed them for about 2 days. I am struggling to make my final preps, so I can only devote time to that. You see my immediate family doesn't have a clue either. I've been preparing for the entire year for 5 other people who will not help me. I now have to move the entire prep to a remote location. (How many days are left? Ugh!) They are afraid that I will "suffer" when nothing happens. Geez. It's good to hear from you. I've just been hanging in there in acting like a robot on the bad days. Best of luck to you. I have a feeling there are a lot of people in our situation. Meandi

- - meandi (trying@too.com), November 07, 1999.

In my honest opinion, I have very few relatives that are worth saving. If I gave them any food it would be exchanged for cigarettes or a new yard dog.

-- Carol (glear@usa.net), November 07, 1999.

Maggie, I'll do what I can for them if they get into a mess. I used to work in retirement hotels and am not material to sit back and watch my elderly neighbors perish. Frankly, I'd die of shame if an entity like the National Guard had to come "get the bodies" of my highly vulnerable elderly neighbors that perished from starvation, as I sit next door with enough to share and could have easily saved their lives. Can you imagine how the papers would read if a someone heavily prepared let the sick old people next door die without a thought or care? It goes beyond being a decent person some things do hit the papers for the whole world to read. (Like the families in Chicago who sat back and let their parents die in the heat power outage recently. Parents who were just down the street no less.)

-- Paula (chowbabe@pacbell.net), November 07, 1999.

No one should feel guilty for not taking care of foolish people who have been forewarned about an impending disaster. When people refuse to get on the life raft, they have made their choice. The best anyone can do for those ignorant, finger pointing, name calling twits, is to direct them to the BIG WHITE BUS, or the VERY LONG SOUP LINE. Just because your relatives share the same gene pool as you, doesn't make you obligated to take care of them.

-- bardou (bardou@baloney.com), November 07, 1999.

A familiar story. I've stopped trying, even with those I love. All I say now is "If you think that at some point you might, just MIGHT want to stock up, not that there's anything wrong of course, but just in case everyone ELSE panics, then it's best for you to do it NOW, don't wait until mid-December, or you'll be part of the problem." And I find that I'm increasingly NOT bringing the issue up with family and friends, as I am becoming more aware that it's too late to fix any outstanding problems, and the biggest threat now is problems of perception: food, bank and stock market runs. If you know someone who hasn't bought already, then chances are they'll wait until they SEE the danger signs, by which point they ARE part of the problem. If we can't persuade them to stock early, then it's better if they don't stock at all. Frankly, it's probably now best for even the most paranoid of us to just shut the feck up and cross our fingers.

As a cheering aside, my partner's parents lived most of their life in Shetland, an island community frequently beset with bad weather. They HABITUALLY keep large stocks of food and fuel. To them, it's second nature, it's not even an issue. In fact, when I mentioned stockpiling to them, they thought about it for a second and said "You mean you didn't before? That's wierd." Quite the opposite of the usual "You're stockpiling? Are you some sort of wierdo?" response that I've been getting from my city friends.

- Colin MacDonald -

-- Colin MacDonald (roborogerborg@yahoo.com), November 07, 1999.


Bardou says, "When people refuse to get on the life raft, they have made their choice."

Well, Bardou, yeah okay, that may work as a personal credo of survival. However, you might want to be somewhat more delicate in how you impart that line of wisdom and certitude to 4-year-olds should they look to you for help. Or to trusting senior citizens, many of whom lost their early-life spouses, brothers, and fathers in WWII or Vietnam. From a moral standpoint, it strikes me as infinitely more complicated than a life-boat-I-warned-ya rationale.

Paula, yo, chowbabe, you are truly first-rate!

-- (resigned@this.point), November 07, 1999.


Preparing,

I to am concerned about enough water.I have drinking water in 2 55 gal water barrels and water in new trash barrels (with clorox)for bathing and such.What has helped me feel a little more secure,I bought one of the back pack type water filters,that can be used to filter pond water or from a creek and plan to use it also for the water from a rain barrel.

Paula,

I knew you would help your elderly neighbors.You caring showed from your post.After I read it,I went to the store to buy more food,just in case I can be of some help to others in need of help that couldn't (like your neighbors) prepare for themselves.

I have a wood stove and can cook on it,its just as easy to cook a large mess of beans and corn bread to feed me and a few others as it would be for just me.

-- Maggie (aaa@aaa.com), November 07, 1999.


bardou: I wouldn't take care of them because we share the same gene pool for crying out loud. I would take care of them because I LOVE THEM......I LOVE THEM.....I LOVE THEM.....I LOVE THEM!!!!!!!!!!

Crying now, can't see the keyborad.

-- preparing (preparing@home.com), November 07, 1999.


Prep,

People "get it" it differnt ways. I believe even some of those with the greatest understanding of what "it" might be don't keep this foremost in mind simply because of the depth and magnitude of possible suffering being addressed (re Peter De Jager). Just because someone says, "it'll be nothing" doesn't neccessarily mean they don't "get it" More important might be a tangential approach to this. It may sound comical but it may also work. For instance start with your new found interest in camping and how you would like to pick up a good kerosene stove, or about what baking materials your ancestors used to have on hand, or how they used to do things. (possibly put more delicately but maybe you get the idea). Talk about solutions and not problems and you may find more receptive ears.

-- PD (PaulDMaher@att.worldnet.com< /A>), November 07, 1999.


Okay, I'm at the end of a very long post but this is as good a place as any to vent. My family (parents, sibs, kids) celebrate Christmas at New Years. Done this forever. I have the biggest house, fireplace, and the only one preparing at all. MOTHER decides we are all to be at their place this year. This is not a huge problem as their home is our bug out place. Mom thinks this is ludicrious because of all of the above. They have an earth-contact home, Dad seriously gardens, and does all their shopping at Aldi's and Sam's anyway. He is a moderate GI, child of the depression era, huge farm family, has a food fetish. Mom, however, refuses to get it. She did at the beginning, but listened to too many happy stories. Because of Dad, I'm fairly sure they could handle a lot. Anyway, I told my mom that we would have to discuss whether or not we would be there for our holiday, and if we did it would be in two vans hauling as much of our preps as possible. "...yada, yada, yea okay, whatever". Talked to my dad this week on his birthday, and confirmed we would be there. Since we have a large family, we always split up the dinner menu so that everyone brings something. So Dad is yacking and tells me not to bring my food. So I'm thinking, what does he mean? We always share the food expenses. Then it dawns on me he's talking about my PREPS! I groaned and said, "Oh Dad, Mom thinks I'm a nut". There was silence on the other end and he finally chuckled and said, " Honey, I think you're a nut, too". I didn't know whether to laugh or cry at that point. He did finally say to just bring whatever made me feel comfortable. Lovely. I also have an in-law who tries to be superwoman and usually fails miserably. She started to can this summer. Didn't quite make it work. Last week I asked for her "ton" of jars so I could keep up with mine (for the ENTIRE family). Well, this morning my brother in law brought them over. What a joke. Two cases of quart jars and one case of pints. I wonder how long she thought that much food would last? She borrowed my dehydrator a while back. "I'll be in charge of dehydrating". I thought that was great. She did a few trays of fruit, promply fed them to her kids, and quit. I got it back and started in on jerky with a vengence. I hope she likes jerky since she'll be eating at my house, if we get back from my parent's. Then again, her family will be in Atlanta for Christmas with her parents. Gee, I feel much better now.

-- lvz (
lvzinser@hotmail.com), November 08, 1999.


-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

Look, you are not alone in this situation. I have a mother and SEVEN brothers and sisters. NONE of them will do anything at all. I first began to explain to them about this more than TWO years ago in September of 1997. I explained in explicit detail. No avail. It is not a matter of intelligence or anyhting like that. It is simply this: They do NOT want to understand.

They could not care less.

I do not feel ONE iota of compassion towards a one of them. Not a drop. I will empathize with what they go through but I will not sympathize with them in the slightest. They deserve what they are about to get.

Everyone is obligated to review the evidence. They would BARELY do that. And so superficially that it would not have made a difference anyway.

If someone cared enough about them to go out of their way to warn them, suffer the indignity of their ill informed ridicule.....then I wash my hands of them. Period.

They deserve what they are about to get. In spades. If any one of them showed up begging for help, so help me, I would throw them out. They refused to help when it was time to prepare, now let them suffer the consequences of their own well deserved foolishness.

You can sit there and say that it is heartless to treat your 'own' family like that. And, I say, that they are NOT family if they do not ACT like family.

Paul Milne "If you live within 5 miles of a 7-11, you're toast"

-- Paul Milne (fedinfo@halifax.com), November 06, 1999.

---------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001


Now, this is curious:


preparing:

I must commiserate with you. This evening I tried again with my family, and was laughed at again. "What will you do if the power goes out?" "Oh, it went out for a few days a couple of years back. We just went to visit some friends across town until they put the wires back up." Sigh. "What if the whole town loses power?" "Oh, that won't happen." "Well, shouldn't you have at least some heat source just in case?" (These people are in Buffalo!) "Nah, you're being silly. Nothing will happen."

Unlike Paul Milne, I'm deeply concerned about my family. I'm very unlikely to be in any position to help them (from 1000 miles away) if they need help. And clearly my efforts to get them to help themselves are falling on deaf ears. Very sad.

-- Flint (flintc@mindspring.com), November 07, 1999.


Flint, I thought that you said that in mid-1999 that the "good news" was in regarding Y2K, and that there would be no need to be concerned about problems, much less very serious ones like electric power. Yet, in late 1999, you apparently were worried about just that.

Flint, care to enlighten?...

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001

A Y2k war WAS proclaimed and nobody came.

Buddy: I don't think you're correct on Doc's appraisal of hoax. I remember arguing with him at the time about that one. SOME systems [on which I worked] were remediated for Y2k with other changes that went in during a period between 1992 and maybe 1998. That these systems had no 1999 work to be done didn't indicate that NOTHING was done. Lots of systems also changed extensively when converting to platforms that were already Y2k ready in years past.

I would agree with TK that if one didn't check out the "doomer" vs. "polly" arguments displayed on some internet fora, one wouldn't have worried at all about Y2k. Even the Senate hearings on the subject were delegated to obscure cable stations.

Of course my opinions come from the PRIVATE sector of the IT industry. I didn't work on a remediation project or KNOW of a remediation project that wasn't going to make it in time. I'd heard absolutely NOTHING about the public asking the firms at which I'd worked about whether they would be Y2k-ready. I DID take it upon myself to ask my local water company how they were coming. I did this more to ask questions about how the water system worked than to demand readiness information. I think I started this discourse in 1998 and the response was "There's much to do, and we are at the mercy of the electric company to complete THEIR job on time." I'd already had a contract at the local electric company [as well as one in Chicago] and found the programmers to be very laid-back [at best] and incompetent [at worst.] However, in neither situation did these companies rely on their full-time staff. They pulled in contractors to do the work, and the work got done.

My guess is that less than 5% of the population ever visited the Y2k sites on the internet or even read the news from the press on the subject. Who the hell was Ed Yourdon? Cory Hamasaki? *I*'d never heard of either of them, and had spent my entire adult life in the field. No one I knew had heard of them either. Ed was known only by those who had picked up one of his books [on the "reduced" aisle] and thought that for $1.45 one might get a glimpse into IT. Cory had his dee-cee audience [what...12 people at a monthly conference] who could get together and commiserate on how the government wasn't providing contractors with enough donuts?

I agree that it was nuts. As Stephen said, however, it WAS fun to partake. It was an excellent exercise in watching true believers try to convince the other side that MY opinion is correct, and YOURS is false. It didn't matter which side one was on. The process was the same.

-- Anonymous, August 09, 2001


Gee, TK, are you arguing that law enforcement shouldn't be aware of and prepare for the lunatic fringe? Would you apply the same logic to international terrorists?

Your 20/20 hindsight is impressive. But I wouldn't want you to be in charge of foreign policy.

And finally, Ed Yourdon's reputation among the younger IT generation isn't as great as among the older ones among us . But the older generation is the one that had the ears of politicians and decision makers. (Why do you think he addressed all his drivel to the President?) And they were listening to toasty and other old-timers during the early period. So it was especially important to debunk them to keep a rein on government hysteria.

As the projects came in on time (As Paul continually pointed out, they were maintenance, not new development), the mood became less hysterical. The last six months or so were more or less fun for those of us who saw it from the inside out. Except, I guess, for Paula, Cory , Elaine Core, etc.

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


Gee, TK, are you arguing that law enforcement shouldn't be aware of and prepare for the lunatic fringe? Would you apply the same logic to international terrorists?

No, I never said that. I only noted that nothing happened.

Thus, the fears that you had about the TB2K people were completely wrong. This is not the same as saying that such fears were unfounded.

Now, by way of analogy, try applying this to people who had fears about Y2K and stocked up for it. Their fears turned out to be wrong. But were they unfounded?...

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001

TK, No, I never said that. I only noted that nothing happened.

Why would you bother to note that? It's self evident.

But the fact that you would use that as a justification indicates your rather shallow approach to the issue. It's a sad commentary on how much we take our relative peace and tranquility for granted.

TPTB had to consider the fruitcake fringe a real threat. It was NOT a "bar bet" to be won or lost.

And that's why TB2K was important. It was one window into the soul of potential anarchists. And, yes, TPTB did uncover a few nutcases who were trying to make trouble over Y2K. The fact that you never heard of the trouble is tribute to the people who try to keep things like the World Trade Center bombing from happening.

THAT (the bombing) was not a "bar bet" either.

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


Why would you bother to note that? It's self evident.

Just as it is self-evident that nothing happened with the Y2K computer glitch. Looks like a lot of people were "wrong": about fruitcakes and computer glitches.


But the fact that you would use that as a justification indicates your rather shallow approach to the issue. It's a sad commentary on how much we take our relative peace and tranquility for granted.

Likewise, that anyone would take our reliance upon computer technology "for granted", and assume that the Y2K computer glitch did not have the potential to cause serious problems (if not fixed).


TPTB had to consider the fruitcake fringe a real threat. It was NOT a "bar bet" to be won or lost.

Just as the Naval War College, etc., took the Y2K computer glitch very seriously. They had to, it was part of their job.


And that's why TB2K was important. It was one window into the soul of potential anarchists. And, yes, TPTB did uncover a few nutcases who were trying to make trouble over Y2K. The fact that you never heard of the trouble is tribute to the people who try to keep things like the World Trade Center bombing from happening.

And, likewise, that was why all the money and resources that were expended towards investigating and fixing the Y2K bug were important. The fact that things went so smooth is a tribute to the people who keep our system going so well. (Note to Doc Paulie: No, not the NWO. Guess again.)


THAT (the bombing) was not a "bar bet" either.

So, really, these are all very complex issues requiring a fair amount of expertise to judge. (Note to cpr: A real estate license don't cut it.) It would be silly to try to put any of these issues in the form of a bar bet.

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001

I'm confused on this one also, Nick. BTW, good to "see" you again.

It's my understanding that TPTB actually have people on staff to monitor the internet writings of the fringe groups. Are you suggesting that average internet users should replace this staff or supplement this staff? It already seems that there are watchdog-type groups that do this sortof stuff.

Short of this suggestion, why would the average person need/want to concentrate on the writings of fringe groups or throw fear of these folks towards other average people?

Please correct me if I've misunderstood your last post.

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


Anita,

Tnx, I read often, contribute little, as befits a gubmint drone. In this case I'm just trying to correct the impression TK seems to have. That is, Debunkies and TB2K were irrelevant side shows.

My position allowed me to see some inner machinations that the general public could not and was not interested in seeing. And that's fine with me. The fewer people who were exposed to the nutcases (on both sides) the better. Most of Y2K was a tempest in, well, a thimble. Way overblown. But for the most part we didn't understand that until at least late '98. Even CPR was a pessimist early on. I think de Jager penned his optimistic assessment in Jan '99 or thereabouts.

So our forums were, properly, circus sideshows to the general public. But the discussions were not irrelevant to those who are concerned with national security. What went on in our flame wars was watched closely by some highly-placed individuals. Yourdon could be sure that his strange ramblings would be read by the top brass even though they were published on an obscure discussion board.

So it both serious and fun at the same time. And also a bit tragic--Milne, for example. Or Paula (Brother! What a waste of electrons!)

And the denouement has been somewhat sad, too, with various fallings-out. (Hint: Patricia, come back!)



-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


OK, Nick, I sort of see your point now. Let me say this:

If anyone, on any Internet discussion board anywhere, starts frothing about taking up arms, plotting to overthrow the government (even if it is referred to in wacky terms, such as "NWO", or "Martian Meme Motherlode"), then I have no doubt that indeed it gets a bit of attention from TPTB. And, rightly so.

But, that is probably all the attention that it is going to get. If you think for one minute anyone who really is interested in the technical aspects of a problem is going to waste time with people who have no technnical understanding of the problem, you are kidding yourself. The problem is merely being used as a prop to simply promote some other agenda (e.g., some cause or philosophy) and/or to sell something. Note that both the TB2K board and the debunker board had plenty of both.

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001

TK,

If you think for one minute anyone who really is interested in the technical aspects of a problem is going to waste time with people who have no technnical understanding of the problem, you are kidding yourself.

For technical discussions we went to Sissy (C.S.Y2K). And there were some on this board who had technical expertise to discuss arcana of Y2K. But by and large this was never considered a board at which to go into depth. Hoffmeister (Ted Hoffman) attempted a debate with a rather dim bulb by using hands-on numerical analysis of the likelihood of program failures. But it was notable only in that it pointed out the futility of trying to conduct an argument with someone who was a legend in his own mind.

Of course, that kind of detail was wasted at TB2K. They could always use the S-Word: SYSTEMIC. Just one mention of that, even under the breath, and the earth would shudder, the heavens would open, and the Word of God would come forth from br'er Gary:

"It will never happen. NO ONE will EVER be 100% compliant. Thus EVERYTHING will collapse."

So I don't think anyone here was under the delusion that this was a tech-fest or that the general public gave a hoot (see Stephen's comments on that point).

The problem is merely being used as a prop to simply promote some other agenda (e.g., some cause or philosophy) and/or to sell something. Note that both the TB2K board and the debunker board had plenty of both.

Not sure what you mean by "sell something." At Debunkies we mostly baited the doomers and congratulated ourselves. Unless you count "Lady Logic" who was rather transparently trying to sell herself. (Pardon me, I gotta go barf...) Part of our avowed purpose was to prevent some people from spending their life savings on canned tuna and pinto beans, not to make money off 'em.

Dang, it WAS fun, though!



-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


Nick,

Yes, it WAS fun -- mostly. I got tired of repeating the same (circular) arguments over and over. I left TB2000 in June of 1999 because it was obvious that nothing new was being said and that I was repeating myself.

TK,

I think you DO underestimate the *potential* for Y2K problems -- again, NOT because of computers, but because of people who were convinced that computers (which already blew up constantly and which were filled with buggy software) could end the world. Like I said, there was a very real danger of bank runs.

Had the Fates been perverse and even one or two of the "trigger dates" resulted in a serious (even if scattered) problems, public interest in Y2K would have increased overnight.

In fact, many in the public WERE at least mildly interested in it by the end of 1998/early 1999. But as the "trigger" dates passed with virtually no discernible problems, they (correctly) dismissed Y2K as a tempest in a thimble (to borrow from Nick[g]).

There were a few exceptions: NBC did a horribly-scripted, badly-acted movie about Y2K in late Nov 99; Oprah Winfrey devoted a show to it, and Art Bell (King of the Lunies) was screeching every night, "the code is still broken!" right up to the end.

(An aside re: that last one. I travel a good bit, and for amusement, I'll hook up a CB receiver to listen to the truckers. Many of them *WERE* doomers, primarily because of Bell. I had a marvelous little friendly disagreement with one of them when Sandy and I were coming back from NC over Christmas '99. "We're all gonna die," he'd say, and I'd respond, "don't be silly, we are NOT.")

It doesn't take that many people to screw up the works. If even 5% of the population had suddenly withdrawn their money from the banks the end of Dec 99, we would have had a SERIOUS financial crisis.

So, once again: was I a "hero?" Nah. Give that title to people like Mitch Ratcliffe and Steve Hewitt, who reached far more people. But did I help? Sure I did, at least in a small way.

Do I regret it? No.

Do I miss it? Heck no.

Will I continue to address unwarranted fear, uncertainty and doubt? Absolutely. :)

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


TK, one other thing. Have a look at this cartoon that I released in late December 99:

I've never discussed this before, but the "Warhappy" character (the little General) was developed for a reason. Even though I'm pretty conservative politically, I've been watching the militia, skinhead and "hate" groups for the past few years with growing concern.

The fact is, many of these people were HOPING that Y2K would destroy society and allow them to "take over."

(But thankfully, events sucked them all into the street-sweeper of history ... [g] ... as least as regards Y2K.)

-- Anonymous, August 10, 2001


Yo, Stephen!

A, B, ....................................

(Long time no C).

One question, old friend: Where on earth did you get Dweezilor?



-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


TK, dimbulb. You had best look at both my Academic credentials, my 30+ years in business and a few other things before discussing things like "real estate license doesn't cut it".

FUCKING ASSHOLE.

Match my credentials or shut the fuck up.

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


There is almost a 1 1/2 year tracking of my y2k views here:

LINK
http://www.russkelly.com/experts.html



-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Nick,

Dweez was based loosely on some of the IT Doom types whom I had met online -- primarily Cory (no surprise there[g]).

Good to see you, too.

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Hello all,

Please excuse my intrusion. I decided yesterday I needed to go back and read the bboards to see where my logic failed me. I've been reading the DeBunker site, and I can't find much by Mr. Poole, or anything at all by Mr. Osborn. With all due respect, how can you call yourselves debunkers when you weren't posting anything?

Like I said, no disrespect intended. I'm just confused because I didn't find even one post detailing why Y2K wasn't going to be bad.

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Confused:

If you can find anything in the archives, you are a better man/woman than I am. I was here for the whole thing. Those people did post what they are saying.

Now, I am no debunker; just an observer. Something to consider: Ed, remember him, deleted about 10 or so of my posts in an hour. That was only to be exceeded by Uncle Deedah, the superman of deleters. Some of what was said has disappeared. So it goes.

Best Wishes,,,,,

Z

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Prove it. Show me the links.

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001

confused,

I didn't post that much at Debunkers, certainly not as much as some of the other people. And toward the end, I would only post maybe one note every other day or so; in CSY2K, I only slipped in twice a month to post a link to the latest "State of Y2K" article.

I usually posted links to various articles at my Web site and did my "talkin'" there.

I'm not sure why this is so important to you, though, and if you expect Z or anyone else to "prove" it, well ... speaking solely for myself, feel free to believe whatever you wish. I frankly don't care. :)

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Why is it I see your teeth through your smile? :-) (Can you see mine too?)

Show me even one link where SOMEONE explained in technical detail why Y2K would not be bad. If you can, I will be happy to apologize.

(I SWEAR I don't mean any disrespect. I JUST WANT ANSWERS!)

Please. I need to learn where my logic disconnected.

-- Anonymous, August 11, 2001


Ok how about this Y2k explained link?.......Debugging the Y2k Story

I used the freefind box at the bottom of the main Y2k Debunked page and found over 300 mentions of "Stephen Poole" posting back then.

As to Nick, well I will leave that up to him if he so desires to reveal the monkier he used back in those days. He didn't use his real name back then, which was understandable. The regular Debunkers knew who Nick was.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Confused,

No, I didn't post much, and even then generally under a pseudonym. I wrote two or three big items, but they were not on debunkies or TB2K, nor under my real name. They tended to stir up some controversy, tho. [g].

Posted a few under my name at TB2K saying exactly what we had found in our remediation project. And from there I reasoned what the final outcome would be. But of course the doomer mentality wouldn't allow facts to get in the way of their religion.

Ted Hoffman (aka "Hoffmeister") did an excellent statistical analysis showing exactly why Y2K was already over by mid '99. Paul Davis continually pointed out that the whole thing, top to bottom, was just a maintenance project. And maintenance is rarely cancelled, over budget, or late.

If you studied those analyses and still were unconvinced, you could properly be classified as a True Believer. No amount of logic, however irresistable the force, would have moved the immovable object.

Nick

Latimer - Yo, dude! Good to see you again.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Search on "embedded y2k" (not the best way to phrase it still turned up a few to satiate the TROLLs):

http://stand77.com/cgi-bin/search.pl? Range=All&Format=Standard&Terms=EMBEDDED+Y2K

your Search Results


Searched for: EMBEDDED, Y2K.
Displaying documents 1-19 of 19, with best matches first.

Y2k Debunked
Debunking Y2k is the Internet's #1 source for Y2K news and Year 2000 talk. Unlike most Y2k webboards the talk here is sensible and without the common doom and gloom so often encountered elsewhere.
http://stand77.com/wwwbo ard/board.html - 45 K - 12 Jan 2000

WHO?? OR do you mean in what are they experts??
WHO?? OR do you mean in what are they experts?? [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ Debunking Y2k ] [ FAQ ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/927.html - 28 K - 8 Oct 1999

Buddy's great find. HOW COME THE DOOM ZOMBIES DON'T MENTION THIS PAGE??? THE IEEE TALKS FACTS ABOUT EMBEDDED
Buddy's great find. HOW COME THE DOOM ZOMBIES DON'T MENTION THIS PAGE??? THE IEEE TALKS FACTS ABOUT EMBEDDED [ Follow Ups ] [ Post ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/631.html - 45 K - 4 Oct 1999

THIRD PRIZE: THE Y2K CHOCOLATE MESS CAUSED BY THE EMBEDDED SYSTEMS AND COWS DOWN WIND
THIRD PRIZE: THE Y2K CHOCOLATE MESS CAUSED BY THE EMBEDDED SYSTEMS AND COWS DOWN WIND [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/474.html - 10 K - 14 Oct 1999

THIS IS WHY EMBEDDED IS HARDLY MENTIONED ANYMORE BY THE SERIOUS REMEDIATORS: It could be it was HYPE TO BEGIN WITH: PART II: MORE OF THE VERY **WEAK** EXAMPLES
THIS IS WHY EMBEDDED IS HARDLY MENTIONED ANYMORE BY THE SERIOUS REMEDIATORS: It could be it was HYPE TO BEGIN WITH: PART II: MORE ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/1726.html - 40 K - 18 Oct 1999

OH RIGHT....DO YOU THINK MAJORITY RULES WITH ZEROES AND ONES?? THAT THEIR OPINION COUNTS AT THE SOURCE CODE OR PCB BOARD LEVEL??? the rest of the ignorant begin to chant. Let's see the Zombies reject Cherri and The Engineer
OH RIGHT....DO YOU THINK MAJORITY RULES WITH ZEROES AND ONES?? THAT THEIR OPINION COUNTS AT THE SOURCE CODE OR PCB BOARD LEVEL??? the rest ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/898.html - 17 K - 9 Oct 1999

You aren't going to believe this one.
You aren't going to believe this one. [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ Debunking Y2k ] [ FAQ ] Posted by ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/434.html - 5 K - 2 Oct 1999

New collection of MYTHS for the Embedded Faithful by who else??
New collection of MYTHS for the Embedded Faithful by who else?? [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back to main page ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/2905.html - 19 K - 1 Nov 1999

Why you are REJECTED EVERYWHERE for your COMET INSURANCE VIEWS (re-run from below)
Why you are REJECTED EVERYWHERE for your COMET INSURANCE VIEWS (re-run from below) [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back to ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/2492.html - 6 K - 27 Oct 1999

THEY REJECT YOUR facts. YOUR VIEWE IS BULL: It never fails that when I tell people that my preparedness isn't JUST ABOUT Y2K, they chose to ignore that fact.
THEY REJECT YOUR facts. YOUR VIEWE IS BULL: It never fails that when I tell people that my preparedness isn't JUST ABOUT Y2K, they ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/2459.html - 6 K - 27 Oct 1999

For the suckers, the all time winner in SELF PROMOTION with a side order of SHILL
For the suckers, the all time winner in SELF PROMOTION with a side order of SHILL [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/2173.html - 36 K - 25 Oct 1999

Does she ever SHUT UP?!?!?!?
Does she ever SHUT UP?!?!?!? [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ Debunking Y2k ] [ FAQ ] Posted by Patricia on ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/491.html - 6 K - 14 Oct 1999

FOURTH PRIZE: self described unreconstructed HIPPIE FINDS PALOMA's NEW DIGS URGES HER TO WASH (NUKE not SOAP)
FOURTH PRIZE: self described unreconstructed HIPPIE FINDS PALOMA's NEW DIGS URGES HER TO WASH (NUKE not SOAP) [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/475.html - 17 K - 2 Oct 1999

SECOND PLACE: A WITLESS GUMP WRITES AGAIN TO JESSE V. (Dah Gov): WHO SEEMS TO HAVE LOST THE FIRST EPISTLE OF GUMP TO JESSE V.
SECOND PLACE: A WITLESS GUMP WRITES AGAIN TO JESSE V. (Dah Gov): WHO SEEMS TO HAVE LOST THE FIRST EPISTLE OF GUMP TO JESSE ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/473.html - 16 K - 14 Oct 1999

This, quite naturally leads to a WHOLE NEW THOUGHT: come 1/1/2000...THERE WILL BE TOO MUCH POWER ON THE GRID AND THAT WILL ..............
This, quite naturally leads to a WHOLE NEW THOUGHT: come 1/1/2000...THERE WILL BE TOO MUCH POWER ON THE GRID AND THAT WILL .............. [ ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/472.html - 6 K - 14 Oct 1999

TODAY'S WINNER: Most Original New Doom Zombie Non-Thought QUOTE: ..It is worth noting that the shut down of a large user of electricity can cause disruptions to the power grid (RIGHT ON St.LEON THE LOON)
TODAY'S WINNER: Most Original New Doom Zombie Non-Thought QUOTE: ..It is worth noting that the shut down of a large user of electricity can ...
http://stand77.co m/wwwboard/messages/471.html - 16 K - 14 Oct 1999

All in all....A LOUSY CASE FOR ON THE JOB TRAINING AND SOME WAS AT TAXPAYER EXPENSE!!!
All in all....A LOUSY CASE FOR ON THE JOB TRAINING AND SOME WAS AT TAXPAYER EXPENSE!!! [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/1727.html - 40 K - 18 Oct 1999

PART I. WHY?? Could it be that embedded NEVER WAS A REAL PROBLEM. SEE THE FOLLOWING WEAK EXAMPLES:
PART I. WHY?? Could it be that embedded NEVER WAS A REAL PROBLEM. SEE THE FOLLOWING WEAK EXAMPLES: [ Follow Ups ] [ Post ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/1725.html - 25 K - 18 Oct 1999

LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER MYTH GOING DOWN SOON: Subject: MEDICAL DEVICES - THE VANISHING PROBLEM?
LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER MYTH GOING DOWN SOON: Subject: MEDICAL DEVICES - THE VANISHING PROBLEM? [ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back ...
http://stand77.c om/wwwboard/messages/1724.html - 8 K - 18 Oct 1999
Documents 1-19 of 19 displayed.

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-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001

HERE IS SOME OF HALL'S BS. JUST READING IT YOU SEE EXAMPLES OF "GENERAL CASES" THAT EVEN NON-ENGINEERS WOULD HAVE TO QUESTION. A BUNCH OF "COULD GO WRONGS" BUT..........COULD GO WRONGS Y2K OR **NO Y2K****.........

THIS WAS .........ANOTHER SERIES OF POSTINGS THAT THE IDIOT DOOMERS COULDN'T EVEN READ........... TO DISCOVER THE FALLACIES.

NOT TO BRAG BUT I COULD AND CAN NOT ONLY READ THIS SORT OF THING BUT I CAN EVALUATED JUST AS CHERRI DID. THAT IS WHY I CALLED THIS REPEAT OF THE IEEE-UK "EMBEDDED" EXAMPLES............TOTAL BULL SHIT.......
AND SOME OF THE DE-BUNKERS MODIFIED TO "PARTIALLY TOTAL BULL SHIT"

http://stand77.com/wwwboard/messages/1726.html

THIS IS WHY EMBEDDED IS HARDLY MENTIONED ANYMORE BY THE SERIOUS REMEDIATORS: It could be it was HYPE TO BEGIN WITH: PART II: MORE OF THE VERY **WEAK** EXAMPLES


[ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back to main page ] [ FAQ ]

Posted by (208.188.24.68) cpr on October 16, 1999 at 13:44:26:

In Reply to: PART I. WHY?? Could it be that embedded NEVER WAS A REAL PROBLEM. SEE THE FOLLOWING WEAK EXAMPLES: posted by cpr on October 16, 1999 at 13:42:14:


16. Application Type: A robot used to change air filters in a restricted area has a PLC controller. The robot may be used in automatic mode controlled by its PLC. It can also be used in manual mode, but the operator relies on the PLC to receive information from sensors on the robot arm. Completely manual operation is not possible. Description: PLCs running certain versions of the operating system will fail to roll over into the next century correctly. This will disable the robot. Problems will not be experienced immediately as the robot is not in constant use. (Editor's note: Are you sure you have checked and tested ALL of your equipment?) However, failure to correct the problem would seriously impair production. The operator terminal used to program the PLC is non-compliant, as is the programming software. It may be difficult, if not impossible, to roll the PLC system clock back and, if necessary kit changes cannot be made, production will be stopped. Solution: Complete replacement of the PLC. Consequences: Production must stop. Unless a solution is found regulatory non-compliance would follow.

17. Application Type: System used for voice and data communications between train drivers and signalers. Description: Before updating the time, the management processor sets all of its internal registers to zero, and monitors the status of them afterwards. If the status of one or more registers is still zero, this is interpreted as message not received. The processor will await the arrival of a valid signal before updating the time and date. So, effectively, it will cease to function for one year, then resume normal operation on 01/01/01. Solution: The equipment manufacturer must provide a software upgrade. Consequences: If information gets out of sequence, chaos will ensue. Train delays will occur, and there will be increased risk of rail accidents. The cost of this could be considerable. There will also be regulatory problems as, in the event of an emergency, logs and sequencing information is needed for post-incidence inquiries.

18. Application Type: Tracking system used on 6 meter and 8 meter satellite dishes. This tracking system is used to position satellite dishes that provide uplinks to communication satellites in geostationary orbit. Description: The tracking system rolls over into the next century and the data '00' is interpreted as an invalid date. Knowledge of the date is essential to finding the position of the satellites. Solution: There are three possibilities: 1) Upgrade the tracking system; 2) use alternative transmission means; 3) transmit using smaller satellite dishes on higher power. Consequences: It will not be possible to broadcast signals. (Editor's note: Make sure embedded systems impacts won't impact your expected contingency plan actions.)

19. Application Type: SCADA system that provides an overview of the operation of approximately 250 systems in a manufacturing plant. Description: The system failed during the power down roll over test. It would not start up again when power was re-applied. The system was restored from backup and the successfully re-initialized. Solution: The problem was rectified immediately by the vendors. Software modifications were made. Consequences: If this failure happens on restarting the system after the millennium shutdown, and the system backup is not readily available to restore the system, then this type of problem could result in significant downtime.

20. Application Type: A smart density analyzer uses a radioactive source as part of its measuring process. Description: The algorithm that compensates for the decay of the radioactive source gives erroneous results on rollover to January 1,2000. Solution: It was initially thought that the solution would be to recalibrate the instrument on December 31, 1999 (enter a date of January 1, 2000), and then to recalibrate again on January 1, 2000 (enter the date of January 1, 2000 again). Testing discovered that doing two sequential recalibrations also caused major problems. (Editor's note: Be sure that your "solution" does not cause problems. Test your solution before final implementation.) The vendor is now offering users of the system an EPROM upgrade. Consequences: In an operating process, this would raise alarms and possibly result in a costly process shutdown.

21. Application Type: Multi-site organization has a packet switching mechanism to allow medium speed data communications. Description: Each communication node in the network has a real time chip in the node firmware. The firmware only 'sees' two digit dates. The system will not function correctly if allowed to roll into the next century. The packet switching management system is a supervisory level system with non-compliant operating system in conjunction with non-compliant application software. (Editor's note: This system has all three problems, firmware, operating system and application software. All should be checked for proper functionality.) Solution: The packet switching device will have its internal clock wound back by 28 years to synchronize days of the week and leap years. The packet switching management system will be completely decommissioned. No fix has been identified for the application system although the operating system could be upgraded. Consequences: The management system is the key to determining fault location, performance metrics, and event reporting. Without the management system, it will be difficult to manage with faults, and alterations will take longer to deal with, thus impacting network resilience.

22. Application Type: A multi-site utility company has 1.2 million meters (30% electronic and 70% mechanical). A problem arose with the calibration equipment for the electronic meters. Description: On testing electronic meters and rolling through the post 2000 dates, the calibration equipment 'stuck' at 2010. It was impossible for the user to reset the calibration equipment. The vendor had to be called in. (Editor's note: January 1, 2000 is not the only possible problem date. With the lack of a universal format standard, we run risks every year.) Solution: The vendor reset the calibration equipment and inserted an upgrade patch. Consequences: This caused a major logistical problem as a backlog of calibration checks built up.

23. Application Type: Fuel Pump Description: Year does not roll over. Leap years are not recognized. Solution: Client "working around" fault. Owner has to manually correct date on each January 1st. Consequences: Inability to monitor fuel dispensation. 24. Application Type: HVAC - Air Conditioning/Heating Controls Description: Loss of control of HVAC system. Critical date 01/01/2000. Solution: Upgrade software. Manufacturer supplying free upgrade. Consequences: Potentially catastrophic.

25. Application Type: Fire alarm control panel - sounds alarm. Description: There would be a fire alarm malfunction on rollover - alarm raised. Solution: Software upgrade. Consequences: Would lead to building being evacuated.

26. Application Type: Water leak detection. Description: Non- reporting of leaks/fire alarms. This type of problem could be either no alarm, false alarms, or both. The critical date for this specific system was 01/01/2000. Solution: Upgrade microprocessor. Consequences: Non- reporting of leaks could cause major damage with long down times. False alarms would cause systems (e.g.. air conditioning) to be closed down. 27. Application Type: Building Energy Management System Description: The system will operate correctly through the millennium rollover if the system remains powered. If the system is powered down, however, the date will revert to XX/XX/1900. (Editor's note: If you can absolutely believe that your system will never be powered down, then you don't have to fix this type of problem.) Solution: Upgrade/ replace equipment. Consequences: Potential failure of air conditioning/ heating system, security systems etc.

28. Application Type: Fire Alarm Panel. Description: System crashes on rollover, but can be reset in year 2000. However, it doesn't recognize leap years. (Editor's note: You should do a leap day test for 2000, 2001 and 2004.) The critical date for this specific system is 01/01/2000. Solution: Replace equipment. Consequences: Building is left unprotected if system is not reset immediately after rollover.

29. Application Type: SCADA - Supervisory control & archive data for production process. Description: Loss of communications to discrete control functions and failure of archiving process data due to 2 digit date field use. Solution: Fix installed by manufacturer Consequences: Loss of heating models for process. Manufacturing an unusable product. Loss of process data for quality control and QA. 30. Application Type: SCADA - Monitoring of high frequency welding equipment Description: All data logging after January 1, 2000, would be erased as 'old' data. (Editor's note: Have you checked to see if you could properly write data or files during your Y2K tests?). Solution: A software patch is available and will be installed by original supplier of equipment. This original supplier had been unaware of the problem and consequently will need to fix several hundred similar systems worldwide Consequences: Loss of historical trending data and traceability for QA.

31. Application Type: Level and flow monitoring of waste acid treatment plant Instrument Description: Problem experienced with some versions of firmware. If the unit rolls over any year (it's not a Y2K specific problem) with the power supply off, then on power up, the display is blank and the keyboard locked so that the device will not operate. Solution: A known compliant version of the firmware has been installed. Long term, the unit will be replaced. Consequences: Inability to treat acid, resulting in shutdown of plant.

32. Application Type: DCS - Wire Loom Testers. This is a stand- alone system, which is not connected to any computer network. It performs electrical continuity tests on aircraft wiring looms. Description: On rollover, the PC attached rolls to 00, but the certificates printed out for the customer show the date as being in the year 100. Solution: The PC and its software are to be replaced with a compliant version. Consequences: The system is unable to produce valid certificates for the customer. The customer will reject invalid certificates as they form part of the contract for the aircraft. Consequently, aircraft delivery will be stopped. (Editor's note: What are your contractual requirements for documentation and have you included them in your testing?)

33. Application Type: Logging / Monitoring - This system is found in the automotive industry and is concerned with the "just-in-time" manufacture of airbags. The assembly line is made up of a number of stations. The action carried out at each station is controlled by a dedicated PLC that operates independently of all other PLCs. The whole line is controlled via a main line computer which carries detailed information about the product being assembled and the route map through the manufacturing line, and serves as the link between the assembly line and a network based database. Description: The reference date is used for comparison against the manufacturing date of components that are included in the assembly. Tests revealed that the PLC performing this comparison performed correctly. Further tests revealed that another part of the assembly line suffered a different date-related problem that involved the current production date. The problem was found to be the result of converting the year data (100) into two digits (YY) resulting in the printed label containing :0 as representation of the year 2000. It was found that products carrying labels with year :0 are rejected as a result of invalid year code (Editor's note: All systems should have end-to-end tests carried out. Definition of "a system" should include ALL aspects of manufacturing, packaging, shipping, distribution, etc.) Solution: The date handling routine in the label printing software was modified to represent the year 2000 as 00. Tests were carried out to verify this and found that a fault was again registered. This was traced to the PLC code that compared the year code on the label (00) to the year code in the MDT (100). Therefore a further modification was carried out on the data received from the MDT to represent the year 2000 as 00. Consequences: Loss of production on three assembly lines.

34. Application Type: CNC Milling Machine. The system is used to manufacture aircraft parts and is controlled by PLCs. Description: At the 31/12/1999-1/1/2000 transition, the PLC's BIOS resets from 31/12/99 to 4/1/1980. Numerical Control (NC) program data with the current date (1/1/2000) is then downloaded from the DNC network. There will now be a date conflict between the downloaded NC data and the internal date (Editor's note: This is why you should accomplish end-to-end tests on all systems - possible internal date (really format) conflicts.). Solution: Upgrade of operating system in 3 stages. Consequences: Confusion over NC files that are downloaded over the site network due to date discrepancies. There are three of these machines dedicated to the same task, all are identical and therefore consequence of failure is increased threefold. As far as known, these are the only machines available to manufacture the aircraft parts to the proven method at this site.

35. Application Type: HVAC - The system comprises: (1) a centralized PC (with the appropriate software) that monitors and controls the operating parameters of both a boiler management system and microprocessor-based out stations; (2) local area network that connects the outstations and boiler systems to the PC via networked hubs; [3] portable hand-held computers that are used in the programming of the outstations with, for example, local operating characteristics; (4) air-conditioning units (ACU). Description: While conducting the tests it was found that when power was removed from the outstations and subsequently re-applied (Editor's note: Do your tests include a power- on and power-off rollover?), the outstations failed to recognize leap years. As a result of these omissions the history logs held in the central PC became corrupted. For example, if the PC was expecting data for the 29th February 2000 it received data (from the outstations) for what the outstations believed to be the 1st March 2000 (since the 29th February had been "lost"). Solution: There are two possible solutions (excluding the "do nothing" option): 1) Upgrade the firmware versions of the out-stations 2) Replace the system software. Consequences: The system would activate (or deactivate) at various times during the year.

36. Application Type: Instrument - An "electrical continuity tester" (ECT). It is a standalone instrument and is made of: 1) a master switching console (MSC) that connects the wiring loom under test to the ECT by means of a 100-way cable; 2) a PC is connected to the ECT by means of an RS232 link. This computer contains all the programs required to automate the operation the ECT and record the results of the tests; 3) the ECT is connected to an electricity supply and contains banks of manually operated make or break switches. Description: The problem that occurred is as follows: On December 30, 1999, it would not have been possible to set the system's operation for January 1, 2000. The PC would have interpreted the year as 1900. That means that the license would become invalid, which in turn means that the system would refuse to operate (Editor's note: Have you investigated all possible license ramifications?). Given that the system would fail to operate, it is not possible to identify any further effects of non-compliance. Solution: Replacement Consequences: Given that the license would prevent the system from operating, the product being manufactured could not be tested and therefore could not be sold. In the short term the credibility of the business would suffer. In the medium term customers may impose (financial) penalties because the product had not been delivered on time. In the longer term the business may cease operating.

Advisory Disclaimer

Risk Management Advisories are provided to selected organizations to enable them to better understand the nature of the problem addressed. The information in each advisory may be distilled from numerous sources. Since it is impossible to ascertain the accuracy and completeness of such information, the above information is provided as is with no representations or warranties of any kind, whether expressed or implied, and we assume no liability for damages arising out of or relating in any way to the use of the information.

Advisory Editor:

David C. Hall, Senior Consultant, Risk Management Services

Advisory Question/Comment Contact Information

Phone: 630-734-9674 Fax: 630-734-9675 E-mail: dhall@enteract.com US Mail: Hall Associates 268 Weather Hill Drive Willowbrook, IL 60514

__________________________________________________________

END OF FORWARDED MATERIAL __________________________________________________________

This material seems quite useful. Thought it might be helpful to pass it along.
-- Share (Share@shareand share alike.com), October 16, 1999


Answers

---------- SNICKER

35 cases, the last one is because it is a PC that needs to have the BIOS updated.

35

35!!!!


UH hmmm cough cough....


You may be wondering at my semi hysterical outburst here.

Well we have 35 cases. And most are not the "embedded chip" itself.

This from the man who just one year ago brought you the 40, 50 billion embedded chips with 10% Yes a big 10% sure to fail!

I don't want to hear the crap about how he lowered it later when he actually researched the facts, as apposed to the original guess he now admits was a guess.

He testified before congress with those guesses. Now he can only bring you 35 embedded systems (not chips now people pay attention!) that will be impacted (yep not catastrophic failure but IMPACTS.

He knew nothing when he started spouting his "opinion", he has been learning "on the job".

I told him 18 months ago he did not know what he was talking about.

-- Cherri (sams@brigadoon.com), October 16, 1999.




Follow Ups:



-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


A DEBUNKER'S CONCLUSION (shared by all of us)


Agreed - lots of hype and exageration in the consequences


[ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back to main page ] [ FAQ ]

Posted by (12.77.27.183) FactFinder on October 16, 1999 at 20:51:51:

In Reply to: All in all....A LOUSY CASE FOR ON THE JOB TRAINING AND SOME WAS AT TAXPAYER EXPENSE!!! posted by cpr on October 16, 1999 at 13:54:54:

I am going to do an item by item review of this list....some fair stuff here, but lots of hype. Also, a number of "failures" are very doubtful...

Regards,


Follow Ups:



-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001

Now, now


[ Follow Ups ] [ Post Followup ] [ back to main page ] [ FAQ ]

Posted by (12.67.2.119) Paul Davis on October 17, 1999 at 20:19:04:

In Reply to: All in all....A LOUSY CASE FOR ON THE JOB TRAINING AND SOME WAS AT TAXPAYER EXPENSE!!! posted by cpr on October 16, 1999 at 13:54:54:

They are against all government spending on 'nonessentials'. Unless it is them.

Hard to believe these turkeys, the same jokers who were predicting MASSIVE power outages a year ago, can pass around a list of MINOR annoyances and keep a straight face.


Follow Ups:




-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001

OFF I SAY !!

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001

Thank you all,

My apologies go out to Cherri. I have discovered from my reading that she did indeed share technical knowledge relating to chips (Systems!) Thank you for trying, Cherri.

Thank you for taking the time to show me those posts and links, cpr.

I don't have time to read the Debunker's links right now, but I will do so in the very near future. Thank you, Doc, for pulling them up.

Mr. Latimer, I will also read your link later. Somewhere in my memory, I have a vague recollection of seeing your name pre-Y2K and I will apologize if you did indeed write technical information.

Mr. Osborn, could you please show me where you posted your remediation efforts to TimeBomb? The only writings I find of yours are the ones hailing your fair fellows, or putting someone down. I've read a lot of posts by EVERYONE belittling people. I understand why Cherri, Paul, Hoffmeister, and maybe even Johnathan would be irritated, but surprisingly they're not the ones still doing it. You may be right, *I* may have been a true believer, but at least *I* was, and am, a nice person.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Confused,

'Twas on the original TB2K board. Haven't been there in, oh, 18 months. Like Mr. Poole, I've lost interest except for the online friends I've made.

I suspect if you find the old site, you can do a search and find the threads. At least one was in August '99, as I remember. Another couple of posts were nuts 'n' bolts recitals of facts sometime later, maybe late October or November.

In fact, one was in response to a doomer who asked for actual stories from federal and state remediation projects. So I gave him what he asked for. No hype, name calling or insinuating insults. In fact, you can find nothing even remotely impolite posted under my name at TB2K. The replies to my honest reportage (as you can verify with 20/20 hindsight), however, did lack, how do you say it delicately, "a flavor of civility" at times.

As 'Z' points out, numerous posts, even fairly innocuous ones, have been deleted because "the management" didn't want to face the truth. And I remember trying to find the link for someone later but having no luck. Maybe CPR remembers where they were, or can confirm that they've been deleted to protect the guilty.

And after all, it's over, isn't it? Except for lessons learned. And the online friends.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


I think all "nice" doomers need to understand just how HATED we were. We were outnumbered thousands, if not millions to one. I personally got death threats, others I bet did as well.

While there were many who knew Y2k was a bunch of baloney, few were willingly to stick their necks out and say so publically. For this alone I think all of us deserve at least some credit and respect. Those who actually posted under their real names should get tons of credit.

No question the debate got nasty and out of control. But who was it rejoicing almost daily to the impending death of Pollies? Did we wish the deaths of them? Were we posting threads and high-fiving each other over the impending deaths of millions of people around the world? they were.

It also has to be understood just how utterly pointless it was to educate "doomers". No matter what was explained, what evidence was presented, what history cited the standard response was BUT.

We were 110% correct and they were ZERO PERCENT not even close. We knew this at least 6 months ahead of time for CERTAIN. Some of us knew long before that even. Not that this means anything beyond yet another indication the CLUES were available for anyone WANTING to understand.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Gentlemen, thank you for your responses.

I only have time to address one of you today, so I will start with Doc, and will reply to Mr. Osborn tomorrow.

Doc, I agree with almost everything you said. I would like to personally apologize to you on behalf of all *doomers*. *I* never hated you, or any of the *pollies*. I just thought the "pollies" were too optimistic, and there would be more problems.

I'm curious, can you tell me who threatened you? I never knew you to harass anyone (until I started reading this forum ;)

You said, "For this alone I think all of us deserve at least some credit and respect. Those who actually posted under their real names should get tons of credit."

I agree wholeheartedly. They SHOULD get credit for being right. The mean ones should also get credit for being, well, you know -- rude, abusive, nasty, etcetera, etcetera. I agree the Debunkers who presented technical information -- using their real names -- without name-calling and bullying -- are the true good guys in all this. It is still quite shocking to me though, that people such as cpr and Mr. Osborn STILL post nasty messages using their real names. (I capitalized "still" because I assume Mr. Osborn posted with another name because he was being rude.)

You said, "Were we posting threads and high-fiving each other over the impending deaths of millions of people around the world? they were."

There were extremists, no doubt. I only recall one or two -- Milne and Old Git talking about eating long pig, or something like that -- but I think most normal people recognize psychotic behavior in real life and on the Internet, and we give them a wide berth in both places.

You said, "It also has to be understood just how utterly pointless it was to educate "doomers". No matter what was explained, what evidence was presented, what history cited the standard response was BUT."

I don't believe that's true. I believe Uncle Deedah, Mr. Decker, Flint, and many, many others rescaled their "predictions" before the rollover. I would also like to point out, that if all pollies began as pessimists (as Mr. Osborn stated earlier in this thread), then they too were educated.

You said, "We were 110% correct and they were ZERO PERCENT not even close."

Are you saying there weren't ANY problems? I must disagree with you here. I must say, however, that I believe the problems were taken care of quickly.

Finally, you said, "Not that this means anything beyond yet another indication the CLUES were available for anyone WANTING to understand."

*I* wanted to understand -- and still do. I think part of the reason I didn't "get it", is because I didn't have a lot of time to read. I did speak to one of the Y2K representatives here in my town, but left feeling she wasn't confident herself. I'm STILL trying to figure out how I dropped the ball on this one, so I thank you for your time and effort discussing this with me.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Dennis, go back and play with yourself on TB.

Better yet, get ready for the ice fishing season. Maybe you can use your stash of hamburger and tuna helper up.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Confused,

Your "problem" may have been diagnosed. Have you counted the number of personal pronouns you used in your post? That would be "I," "me," "mine," etc.

There is probably not a hard-and-fast ratio by which a clinical diagnosis can be assured. However, the number of personal references in your reply to Doc, for instance, seems to indicate at least a moderate pathology.

Your confusion probably resulted from focusing so much on your personal experiences and not enough on social interaction with other people. Maybe you need to cultivate a spiritual life. It has helped millions overcome defeat, fatalism, despondency and depression.

It's just a thought. We've all been confused in our lives. The real measure of our lives is how we deal with confusion and the host of other ills common to our species.

-- Anonymous, August 12, 2001


Good points Nick.

As to Confused's comments I never claimed there were NO problems. In fact the lack of any evidence showing a growing trend of Y2k related problems convinced me Y2k terribly overblown as to risk. I also had information remedial Y2k efforts introduced as many glitches as they were supposed to address with Y2k, and still the trend was normal. Lacking any trend of increasing problems showed quite clearly Y2k overblown. Y2k was not the common_mode_failure assumed and sold. *I* was the one to beat that drum. If understood fully, the myth lifts and Y2k is seen for what it is, and is not.

Once one understood Y2k not all that unique, and similar to other issues dealt with everyday by computer folks, one was able to put Y2k issues into context. The reason it seemed so big had to do with the HYPE and fear created as a result. Vast majority had NO Y2k issues, although due to the HYPE, they had to operate as if they did when they really didn't. To a Doomer, this meant BIG issues and was added to the Fear pile of "it cannot be fixed". Truth was, beyond a few heavy old mainframe users, few had anything to fix in the first place.

Now with all that said, it must be understood many of the concerns exhibited by the typical doomer DO exist, although the Fears as a result are usually misguided. We do have a vulnerable power distribution system. We do have very bureaucratic, and thus, inefficient governmental agencies. We do have forces in Power which would not hesistate in a minute to manipulate areas to profit self. However despite all this, the individual still has the power. Danger lies in buying into helplessness to the point it becomes a director in one's life as Y2k fears did for some.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


As to the issue of the Doomer venom toward Pollies,and Society in general is New Y2K Game: Death Pools.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001

Gentlemen, (I'm starting to think I may be using the wrong salutation.) I am not Dennis Olson. I am not posting with my name because I don't want you fellows to start telling me *I* am a waste of electrons, etc. *I* AM a spiritual man, and would never treat people the way you do. Jesus is my Savior, and I follow His tradition of love and respect. Those of you who claim to be "spiritual" and harm your fellow man with name-calling and bullying are the one's in need of spiritual guidance.

Mr. Osborn, I use the word *I* a lot for a simple reason. *I* talk about *my* ideas rather than talk poorly about someone else. You might try it sometime.

Doc, Thank you for clearing that up. I was beginning to think you didn't think there were any problems.

Thank you for that link, "New Y2K Game: Death Pools". I didn't read A & L's posts (never did,) but I didn't see any venom aimed at any of the Pollies from TB2K. Can you C & P just one? Thanks.

Before I forget -- I'll get back to you later, Mr. Osborn. We have some unfinished business regarding one of your earlier posts where you said, "That is, Debunkies and TB2K were irrelevant side shows."

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


Confused,

Who is Dennis Olson?



-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


lol! Who's "confused" now? "Loon" a little further up in the thread thought I was. Dennis Olson is a participant of the old TB2K board, TB2K Spinoff and Uncle's board. He is the one who offered to adopt the "internet" baby.

Mr. *Nick* Olson, earlier in this thread you said, "That is, Debunkies and TB2K were irrelevant side shows." and then you elaborated as how you had access to information, etcetera, etcetera.

I'm wondering how you can consider yourself a Debunker when the only posts I have ever read by you are right here. I did a search on Google this morning and found you *did* do Y2K remediation, but no where did I find you reporting things would be all right. I have asked you to give me links to posts containing technical details showing how Y2k would not be bad, and not only have you tried to defame me, you have not provided any links. I hate to say this, but I think you Sir, are a fraud.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


Confused,

Loon only said, Dennis, go back and play with yourself on TB. YOU are the one who brought up Dennis Olson.

After all this time you can't figure out who Loon is? What kind of doomer are you?

If you don't want to accept the testimony of those who knew my posting history, well, that's your problem. If you can't find my posts on the old TB2K, that's probably the SYSOPS' doing.

And if you are, indeed, Dennis Olson, you have confusions deeper than can be addressed here.

Further, if you have delusions that the flame wars of Debunkies, TB2K, Sissy, etc were anything but completely irrelevant to 99.99% of the population, you have a serious pathology. It appears that whatever spiritual awareness you cultivate doesn't do anything to help you accept your true position in the cosmos.

A mind is a terrible thing to waste.

For the DoomBrood, a mind is a terrible thing, period.



-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


After all this time you can't figure out who Loon is? What kind of doomer are you?

Not being a doomer myself, I'll ask: Who (or what) is "Loon"?

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001

TK,

Yeah, I guess it's obvious to those of us who've been on this merry-go-round awhile, but not if you're new. With a little creative inductive reasoning you should be able to read just this thread and figure it out.

We've had to do it that way, and it was an instructive pastime. Happy sleuthing.



-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


Mr. Olson you are really starting to get on my nerves. I prayed before I came here to type this post, but the Lord doesn't seem to be listening to me right now.

You wrote: "YOU are the one who brought up Dennis Olson."

NO, I did not! Loon did. Since Dennis hasn't posted anywhere in this thread, and Loon posted that immediately after my post - he was talking to me, and HE was the one to bring it up. I may have been more wrong about Y2K, but I can at least read a bulletin board! You might consider staying out of bulletin boards until you brush up on your reading comprehension!

You wrote: "After all this time you can't figure out who Loon is? What kind of doomer are you?"

Don't let my handle fool you. I am, and always have been an optimist about most things. I merely misjudged the ability of programmers to fix their systems quickly.

You wrote: "If you don't want to accept the testimony of those who knew my posting history, well, that's your problem."

Do you expect me to believe the word of the few no-name people (or was it one?), that you provided any information at all? Please don't insult my intelligence like that. (Let me see; so far, you have insulted my character and my intelligence. Care to go for the gold and insult my mother?) If you have proof: prove it. Otherwise quit wasting my time.

You wrote: "Further, if you have delusions that the flame wars of Debunkies, TB2K, Sissy, etc were anything but completely irrelevant to 99.99% of the population, you have a serious pathology."

I never brought up relevancy. I didn't make that argument, and your attempt to try to make me look like I did shows your lack of character. You might consider that serious pathology yourself.

You wrote: "It appears that whatever spiritual awareness you cultivate doesn't do anything to help you accept your true position in the cosmos."

What does that mean? Do you think I am beneath you? Can you explain what a *true* position in the cosmos is?

You wrote: "A mind is a terrible thing to waste."

Your insults are becoming laughable. I suggest you come up with better ones or stop wasting bandwidth.

You wrote: "For the DoomBrood, a mind is a terrible thing, period."

I would appreciate it if you would quit calling me a "DoomBrood". I am a human being searching for answers.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


Confused,

You chose an apt moniker. Let's go over things a little more slowly so as not to confuse you even more.

YOU brought up Dennis Olson. "Loon" brought up "Dennis." Period.

Dennis.

NOT Dennis Olson. YOU added "Olson".

For the record, there are a couple of other Dennis' out there in Y2K-land. So why you chose Olson is a little bit of a mystery. Unless you're fixated on his name. So fixated, in fact that you're addressing ME as Olson.

Hmmmmmm . . . Verrrrrrrry interesting . . .

Let me know when you've digested the implications of that and we'll go on to the next lesson.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


You name me one other Dennis that posts over there. There isn't one. I was correct in assuming he was refering to Dennis Olson - because he was.

YOU seem to have nothing better to do than nit pik at my posts - and, you're not doing a very good job of it.

You never answered my question. Do you consider yourself a Debunker?

You are right about one thing. I confused your last names. Big freakin woop-dee-doo.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


Confused,

The sun did not rise and set on TB2K. There were other boards such as Sissy at which Y2K was discussed. Occasionally they had rather intelligent, if heated, discourse. Heat seemed to be the main ingredient at TB2K, however.

So before you base all your conclusions on the few people you knew at TB2k, maybe you'd better check the other boards to make sure you have all your facts straight.

And yes, I did (past tense) consider myself a debunker. After the fact there was no need for debunking.

But give me one reason I should jump when you say frog. Why should I give a flip whether you know my nom de guerre or not? In fact, why are you curious about it at all?

There are far more interesting characters who contributed far more than I did. Doc, for instance, or Patricia. CPR, of course. Poole, Latimer. Cherri . . . and on and on. There are lots of stories and many practically unknown contributions to Y2K debunking.

So remind me again, why are you so curious about who I was? What, exactly, is the bee in your bonnet? Are you writing a book? Izzat it?

C'mon now, fess up. The Good Book says that confession is good for the soul.

-- Anonymous, August 13, 2001


I *was* curious about who you were because I wanted to see if you really were a Debunker. Now I know you're just an asshole. It's clear you have been an asshole on the internet for some time. Just check here

http://www.nomic.net/deadgames/berserker/nomic.199804

Date: Apr 17, 1998 (Fri, 22:49:11) From: Guito

Subject: Fuckhead Award

This award goes to Nick Osborn. He was the only one to vote against this proposal. He was UNANIMOUSLY voted in fuckhead of the year. Will he ever be able to redeem himself? No, he's most likely a fuckhead for life.

Damon

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Confused,

Ah, as confused as ever, apparently. The absolute, perfect entropy of your mental processes won't allow you to grasp the concept that there might be more than one Nick Osborn in the Internet Universe.

Even more revealing, however, is that you, being such an exemplary Christian, don't stoop to using vulgarity. Heaven forbid! Instead, you quote someone else. It's rather like hiring a hit man to eliminate your enemies so you don't break the commandment against murder.

Yes, truly, you are a NICE person! Very much like those nice people at TB2K who wanted to see all the pollies dead. But not before we suffered horribly at the hands of cruel fate. And perhaps also at the business end of Milne's gun(s).

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Do you deny that post was written to you? Do you deny you are nosborn@iastate.edu, the guy he was "talking" to?

And please don't give me that garbage about Milne. The guy is a paranoid schizophrenic and if you don't/didn't recognize that, I pity you. I don't know why you take what he said personally unless he threatened you personally. It that was/is the case, I suggest you call the authorities.

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Confused, You used Google to determine that I was involved in Y2K. Or at least you claimed to. So you ought to know where I live within a radius of, oh, 20 miles.

The records are still on our website. We're dang proud of them. We did a lot of work, found a lot of very interesting facts, made a lot of friends all over the world.

The lessons we learned are doing us a lot of good now. Even tho Y2K itself was largely an embarrassing overreaction for most of the developed world, we got huge benefits in other ways.

The Truth is out there. (That phrase seems familiar . . .)



-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Confused,

I will agree with you on this: Milne is apparently a certifiable paranoid schizophrenic. Even after his supposed "conversion" to Christianity he has been a fruitcake.

The reference to Milne was not meant to imply that you shared his mindset. It's more along the lines of what Doc observed earlier. We got that @$@#*& from doomers all the time. Even Decker, The Excruciatingly Polite and Unflappable got a boatload of it.



-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Another battery maybe? rotflmao

Nick you are cut-up! Holding out on us all this time. Ya party animal rock n' roller you are!

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Confused or "trying to confuse"? Another History re-writer starting with "I'm trying to understand" and then shooting back the usual "nothing happened so nobody paid attention to the doomers therefore they didn't cost anybody anything.....".
LISTEN, CONFUSED MEATBALL
The link you put goes to a thread and includes the email address of the Nick O. It is trivial for us to dismiss this sort of post because we know N.O.'s assorted email addresses for reasons he may or may not choose to divulge.

From: Nick Osborn

And that goes to:
Iowa State University of Science and Technology
http://www.iastate.edu/
And even Old Shit and the rest of the Gang at Cheerless TB knew where Nick O. came from.

One can guess that the following is a college student who could just as well be a Nickee' O. in todays androngenous College Dorms. One thing can't be faked easily and can be tracked. A College.EDU email address is staff, faculty, and 2, 4 or more year transients known as "students".

Exception was Roleigh Twit Martin who had the affrontry to use a state university's email and web facilities to spread his dementia about Y2k and that of others before leaving to worship in the Church of the World's Greatest Singer (according to Roleigh Gump) Selena.

________________________________________ Date: Apr 1, 1998 (Wed, 20:52:57) From: Nick Osborn Subject: my roommates an ass >I feel it would be confusing to start intermixing mutable and >immutable rules in the 100's. -ben byrne joel will not vote for a proposal that would change the number of any amended rule, not even transmuted rules. either become happy with unsegregated mutabilities, or start verbally assaulting him into submission. n

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


So the real question is WHY didn't you put Nick O's email address (the one you found) along with your little post? Clearly you had to read the thread to get a sense of it.

Date: Apr 1, 1998 (Wed, 20:52:57) From: Nick Osborn nosborn@iastate.edu Subject: my roommates an ass

And that leads to WHO ARE YOU AND WHAT DO YOU WANT?

Because I assure you that if you want to play around with such BS on this forum, you will have your head handed to you quickly, sliced and diced for easy re-insertion in your anus where it seems to reside normally.

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


You will notice Nick didn't deny it.

The point I was trying to make is, *I* am not the only one who thinks Nick is less than stellar.

Dick, (Ha! that was a typo, but I think it fits!) I had to keep from gaging when I read your post. *Every* I.T. Department around worked on Y2K and NONE of those people were online calling themselves a Debunker simply because they worked on the project. A Debunker is someone who -- debunks! They explain in detail why something is false. I've been saying since the beginning of this thread that Cherri is the only person at TB2K who debunked! SHE is the only one that deserves any credit.

Loon -- well, you're loony. I don't know what else I can tell you.

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Look Loon, I'm not trying to confuse anybody. If that isn't the same Nick, then I apologize.

You need to settle down because I'm not trying to rewrite anything. I'm asking questions and telling *my* side of the story. Why do you have a problem with that?

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Doc,

Well, I. . . {blush}. . . I didn't know how to tell you. Just don't let Patricia know, OK?

Confused,

Now you got CPR mad. You don't know when you're ahead. Just put down the mouse and back away from the keyboard slowly . . . slowly . . and you won't get hurt.

BTW, don't quit your day job. A Psychologist or logician you ain't.

First of all, a basic principle of logic is "Absence of proof is not proof of absence." So don't assume that because I don't answer you there is no answer.

Second, there are a hundred different clues in this thread alone that tell you where I reside. So you have to know. (Unless you are really as confused as you claim. In that case your nom de plume ought to be "Clueless".)

Therefore all your blather is really trying to smoke out who I "was" in a prior Y2K life. What's it to you? Many folks on this board had a bigger part in debunking than I did. Accept it and go on with your life. There are many things in life we just can't know.

And I certainly am not going to jump through your hoops because you say to.



-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


That is the 2nd time this Corn-fused Meatball made conclusions unmerited by logic.

The fact that Nick O did not "deny it" does not mean that he affirmed it. Only that he choses not to answer you.

There there was the "since the Doomers were losers, that makes you the winners". No, it makes the De-bunkers NON MEMBERS OF THE SET "LOSERS".

The set "LOSERS" has many members not all are doomers. Some are mere time-wasters like "Confused" and "TK", Heve Not Stellar, Corree PeeingInDeeCee and too many more to enumerate here.

You may be certain, moving from the Set (Losers) to the Set (Winners) is not often recorded. Most simply drop out of (Losers) and become (Obscurities) and live out their lives in "quiet desperation".

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


lol! Who's dumber? Me, for wasting my time trying to makes sense out of this stuff with you two weenies, or you two who waste your time trying to skirt my questions?

Loon wrote: The fact that Nick O did not "deny it" does not mean that he affirmed it. Only that he choses not to answer you."

Well, he certainly spent enough time talking around a lot of other stuff. It would be simple to assume he's not answering this for a reason.

D(N)ick, I don't care anymore who you were! If you were proud of your pre-rollover writings you would have put your real name on them. I was wondering if you were *Masterbaiter* because I remember a post by him, and remember being impressed. Now, I don't give a squat!

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Confused,

. . . he's not answering it for a reason.

THAT is why God created the word "Duh!"

Speaking of God, have your lost your religion? After all the hoo-hah and self-congratulation about being a nice person you've turned positively Mephistophilean. You've gone through more personalities than an entire circus sideshow. And like a side show, many of them aren't all that pretty.

Which brings me to the REAL REASON I haven't answered your demands. You see, . . .

Nah. This is too much fun.



-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Now you got CPR mad.

Thanks, Nick. Undoubtedly just as I am in the eyes of this board the- last-person-in-the-world to "get it" regarding Y2K, I guess I am also the last to figure out that "Loon" is another handle that cpr uses. Which, in view of the rampant insanity continuously displayed by cpr, is just too fitting. And too funny!!

Guys, if you read between the lines, "Confused" is asking you some hard questions. If you like, I'll translate for you. But, somehow, I think you have already heard the questions. From me. From Ken Decker. Probably from others, too.

The bottom line answer, which you know is correct but will never admit, is this: Your overreaction to the perceived threat of how people would react to Y2K FUD -- in which clearly you were wrong, wrong, wrong -- caused you (and, in the case of cpr/Loon, is still causing you) to go off the deep end (exhibit A: "thought contagionation" BS). You ended up at least as looney as any doomer who hid in a cave for New Years Eve '99.

Doomer or de-bunker, it really makes no difference -- all of you deluded yourselves and gave in to Internet hysteria. Even now, you are so detached from the real world, you cannot appreciate what a non-issue Y2K was for the 99.9% of us who simply figured that the right folks were on the job, fighting the good fight, and defeating the pesky computer bug.

But, I'll say this: I wouldn't spend my lunch hours or non-busy time anywhere else. This is just too good!

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001

TK,

Yup. And I'll admit it is a bit fun.

But bear with me here, I'm not sure I see what you do in Confused's questions. If you will, take a little time and quote from what he was saying that indicated to you that his questions were serious.

And bear in mind that when debunkers started in at TB2K (and a few other boards, for that matter) they argued calmly from facts. After awhile, late '98 give or take, the doomer camp turned nasty. After repeated assaults, some of which could be characterized as nothing short of vicious, the flame war was joined.

So in many, no, most cases it was Hatfields vs McCoys. However, most of the debunker theme was the same from beginning to end. Nick Z never thought Y2K was a problem. CPR came to the same conclusion fairly early on.

So I'm not sure how you conclude that debunkers were "wrong" in our premise about the outcome of Y2K. And as for saving the world, very few of us, if any, saw debunking as having any effect on the general public. And most of us were glad to return to normality after the rollover. As you could see, most of the messages on this board don't have anything to do with Y2K except when a stray doomer kicks the anthill.

(It is a bit of a shame that Greenspan didn't have more of the same equanimity. We might not be in a recession if the Fed didn't have to sop up all the extra bucks they dumped into the system.)

But the bottom line is that Confused admits to patronizing TB2K extensively. He could have seen hundreds of posts by "pollies", most of which would have pegged the final outcome, and WHY it was the outcome, or at least they would have been in the ballpark. Thus his questions have at least a patina of disingenuousness about them.

So, if you will, clue me in about why you think his exchanges indicated that he was serious about getting answers. To most of us they sound exactly like pre-rollover schlock.

-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001


Which, in view of the rampant insanity continuously displayed by cpr, is just too fitting. And too funny!! EXCUSE ME BUT IF YOU WERE THE LAST ONE TO "GET IT" AND YOU HAVE NEVER DISPLAYED ANY PROOF OF THAT.....WHY DON'T YOU TAKE YOUR ATTEMPT TO TAR ME AND SHOVE IT?
YOU CAN'T "GLIMPSE" Y2K FUD AND DEBUNKING. YOU NEED A FULL AND COMPLETE FRAMEWORK FOR WHAT TOOK PLACE SINCE 1997 WHEN GARY NORTH AND THE FAR RIGHT WING FOLLOWED BY SOME EXTREME LEFTISTS (MOSTLY FROM THE FUTURIST SOCIETY) MIND MELDED OVER THE "CENTRAL TENENTS OF Y2K COLLAPSE FROM THE COMPUTER DATE PROBLEM".

MOST OF THE DEBUNKERS WERE I.T. OR TECHIES OR (PEOPLE LIKE MYSELF WHO CAME OUT OF THE ELECTRONICS BUSINESS AND UNDERSTOOD THE TECHNICAL ASPECTS)........WHO WERE ........APPALLED THAT A KNOWN FANATIC LIKE GARY NORTH AND THE FRINGE OF BOTH SIDES COULD INFLUENCE THE PUBLIC. BY LATE 1998, THE PRESS WAS FILLED WITH STORIES OF PEOPLE "PREPPING", CONGRESS AND THE SENATE WERE......HOLDING CONGRESSIONAL HEARINGS AND......EVERY MAJOR CORP. HAD LAWYERS WRITING FANCY PARAGRAPHS INTO CONTRACTS TO AVOID LEGAL COSTS AND LIABILITIES "JUST IN CASE". NO.......WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT FRAMEWORK.......COME BACK AND TRY TO MAKE A POINT WITH US. OR EVEN ME.

HINT...........LOTS OF LUCK.....IDIOT BOY.



-- Anonymous, August 14, 2001

Let me answer that for TK, nicholas.osborn@dir.state.tx.us. (OK Loon. I took the time to read the thread instead of settling for a search. Is everyone happy now?)

I wanted to know how some of the pollies could call themselves "Debunkers", when they didn't debunk. All I got was side- stepping, guffawing and smoke blown up my ass from people like you and Loon.

I also wanted to debunk the myth that doomers would ALWAYS be doomers. I think I did a great job of that, without even as much as a "you are right, we were wrong" comment from anyone. I won't lose any sleep over it.

Nick wrote:"(It is a bit of a shame that Greenspan didn't have more of the same equanimity. We might not be in a recession if the Fed didn't have to sop up all the extra bucks they dumped into the system.)"

That's quite a statement for a gubmit worker to make. Let me clue you in about something. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters decline in real GDP. Whether one uses this rigid definition or another definition based on a more comprehensive examination of the various measures of the macroeconomy is largely a matter of personal taste -- there's nothing magical about either definition. We are NOT in a recession. YOU ARE SPREADING FUD. Who's the doomer now?

Nick said: "He could have seen hundreds of posts by "pollies", most of which would have pegged the final outcome,..."

That is absolutely, unmitigaged hogwash. I told you earlier I didn't have enough time to read much. At this moment I'm thinking you are delusional because there was NOT hundreds of posts by pollies explaining why Y2K would not be bad -- in technical terms. Most pollie's posts were blowing smoke or complaining about sales.

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001


TK,

Yup. And I'll admit it is a bit fun.

I can relate to that! Doc Paulie's N.W.O. paranoia, cpr's crazy save- the-world babbling, the whole "thought contagionation" thingy -- it is just too funny. Especially when one realizes: these people are actually trying to be serious!! Ya gotta love it.


But bear with me here, I'm not sure I see what you do in Confused's questions. If you will, take a little time and quote from what he was saying that indicated to you that his questions were serious.

The gist of what "Confused" is saying (I believe) is very simple: The de-bunkers screamed, they cursed, they insulted, they ridiculed, they NWOed, they memeed, they thought contagionated, etc., etc. -- but never, in logical terms, did they actually present a valid argument as to why the Y2K bug would not hit hard. (Hint: "Oh, you only think this way because of you have been infected with the meme, you $%#%&#&$#%$#@@#!!!!" just don't cut it.)


And bear in mind that when debunkers started in at TB2K (and a few other boards, for that matter) they argued calmly from facts. After awhile, late '98 give or take, the doomer camp turned nasty. After repeated assaults, some of which could be characterized as nothing short of vicious, the flame war was joined. So in many, no, most cases it was Hatfields vs McCoys.

So two rights make a wrong? Are you really saying that when your logical arguments (assuming that there were really any) met with profane, childish responses (e.g., see anything that cpr/Loon has said, above), that the response was to sink to that level? That is pretty hard to swallow, quite frankly.


However, most of the debunker theme was the same from beginning to end. Nick Z never thought Y2K was a problem. CPR came to the same conclusion fairly early on.

Yes, Y2K was no problem, you guys won the bar bet. This does not mean that you really could understand, much less explain rationally, why Y2K would be no problem.


So I'm not sure how you conclude that debunkers were "wrong" in our premise about the outcome of Y2K.

You were worried that the Doomers would go off their rockers when Jan 1 2000 came and went without computer problems, and start shooting up the world. It is a fact that this did not happen, and therefore you were wrong, wrong, wrong. Again, I reiterate: this does mean that you fears were unfounded. Of course, Doomers presumably felt that their Y2K fears were also not without good reason.


And as for saving the world, very few of us, if any, saw debunking as having any effect on the general public. And most of us were glad to return to normality after the rollover. As you could see, most of the messages on this board don't have anything to do with Y2K except when a stray doomer kicks the anthill.

You mean cpr is now acting normal? Holy Christopher.


(It is a bit of a shame that Greenspan didn't have more of the same equanimity. We might not be in a recession if the Fed didn't have to sop up all the extra bucks they dumped into the system.)

Somehow, I suspect that you are not really qualified to critique Mr. Greenspan's duties as the FED head. I certainly am not.


But the bottom line is that Confused admits to patronizing TB2K extensively. He could have seen hundreds of posts by "pollies", most of which would have pegged the final outcome, and WHY it was the outcome, or at least they would have been in the ballpark. Thus his questions have at least a patina of disingenuousness about them. So, if you will, clue me in about why you think his exchanges indicated that he was serious about getting answers. To most of us they sound exactly like pre-rollover schlock.

You may be right about "Confused"; only "Confused" knows for sure what his motives are. But, so far, the only pre-rollover debunker arguments that I have seen are heavy on the profanity and thought contagionation nuttiness, and rather light on facts.

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001

You guys must have been on a different planet if you never saw a "polly" post a valid argument. And I'm not only talking about the TB2000 forum either.

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001

BEFORE THIS GOES ANY FURTHER : DEFINE THE "thought contagionation nuttiness,"......I don't mean just dismiss it as you do here. DEFINE IT AND SPECIFICALLY TELL US WHY IT IS "nuttiness". FORGET THE SURFACE TREATMENT BS YOU TRY TO GET AWAY WITH. IN FACT, I CLAIM YOU DON"T KNOW THE FIRST THING YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT. PERIOD.

You may be right about "Confused"; only "Confused" knows for sure what his motives are. But, so far, the only pre-rollover debunker arguments that I have seen are heavy on the profanity and thought contagionation nuttiness, and rather light on facts.

-- TK (none@none.non), August 15, 2001



-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001


I can't speak for TK, but thought contagion sounds a little too much like group think to me.

http://www.c-comltd.com/group_think.htm

http://www.google.com/search? q=cache:NYG2RHEsU7Q:designserver.mae.cornell.edu/mae225/mae225.95/gpth symp.html+group+think&hl=en

http://wings.buffalo.edu/soc-sci/pol- sci/courses/psc102/webpage/powerpoint/lec14/tsld004.htm

I admit. I bought into the contagion, or group think, or whatever you want to call it. Like TK, I also take full responsibilty for it. So, what's the problem?

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001


That was only to be exceeded by Uncle Deedah, the superman of deleters.

Actually Z, I'm more of a Popeye of deleters, and I had eaten a lot of spinach that day...

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001


GONG

WE DON'T CARE WHAT IS 'SEEMS TO BE' TO **YOU**. YOU DON'T KNOW WHAT IT IS....ONLY YOUR IMPRESSION.

TRY AGAIN.

I will just keep posting this until I get a suitable answer.

BEFORE THIS GOES ANY FURTHER : DEFINE THE "thought contagionation nuttiness,".DEFINE "MEME".....I don't mean just dismiss it as you do here. DEFINE IT AND SPECIFICALLY TELL US WHY IT IS "nuttiness". FORGET THE SURFACE TREATMENT BS YOU TRY TO GET AWAY WITH. IN FACT, I CLAIM YOU DON"T KNOW THE FIRST THING YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT. PERIOD.

You may be right about "Confused"; only "Confused" knows for sure what his motives are. But, so far, the only pre-rollover debunker arguments that I have seen are heavy on the profanity and thought contagionation nuttiness, and rather light on facts.

-- TK (none@none.non), August 15, 2001




-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001

Hello Jonathan:

OK, I'm convinced, you were and are a polite debunker, and I apologize to you (and any others who were). Misled and misguided on this thought contagionation stuff to be sure, but very polite.


Again- memetics was a useful, predictive model, which did, indeed, predict accurately. Whether the theory is accurate in its entirety is not proven yet, but again, when a predictive model accurately predicts, there is something to the model (Even if it turns out to be dumb luck...:) :) ).

Well, let's see now. You took a group of wackos who thought the world was coming to an end. It didn't. They were wrong. (Provably wrong, at that!) So you assert that your model, which supposedly explains why they thought the way that they did, was in some sense verified. Sorry, no dice.

Suppose I place a bet on the toss of a coin to come up heads, and assert that it will come up heads because the Earth is flat. Suppose the coin is tossed, and it comes up heads. Does that "verify" my claim that the Earth is flat?


Two things here:

1) The old problem of proving a negative. It wasn't necessary to prove that the bug wouldn't hit hard, it was necessary to prove, with verifiable evidence, that Y2K would hit hard. The burden of proof lay with the 'doomers,' not with the 'pollies.' Hoffy and Stephen both did an excellent job of pointing out that computers break constantly, all around us, every hour of every day, and that we work around them. We go on with our lives day in and day out with these problems transparently occurring. They suggested that life would continue going on much the same way after rollover. It was up to the 'Doomer' camp to prove that the change in computers over January 1st, 2000, would change this fact in some way to make computer and technology problems far worse and more noticeable...something never adequately proved, and with good reason: The assumption was false. The scientific method works again.

Yes! Now, apply the scientific method to your thought contagionation theory. If you don't come up empty, you are doing something wrong.


2) Did you look at my page? I thought I presented a fairly valid argument about how things worked there, and why they wouldn't be very different after rollover. Also there I pointed to both Mitch Ratcliffe and CNet, who did good jobs as well...you could look to see if Zventigov's (forgive the spelling) pages are still up, those were good as well...

Jonathan, I don't mean to come across as insulting, so let me just say this: I'm sure that you can find places on the Internet that have nice looking, polite, web pages about UFOs. However, they are still ... nutball. OK? Enough said.


Keep smiling,

You too, sir! Have a great day!!

-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001

Confused,

That's quite a statement for a gubmit worker to make. Let me clue you in about something. A recession is defined as two consecutive quarters decline in real GDP. Whether one uses this rigid definition or another definition based on a more comprehensive examination of the various measures of the macroeconomy is largely a matter of personal taste -- there's nothing magical about either definition. We are NOT in a recession. YOU ARE SPREADING FUD. Who's the doomer now?

Apparently you don't read very much. There are several differing opinions about whether we are or are not in a recession. The definition you quoted is one definition. Other schools of economics (notably German) feel that the U.S. is in a mild recession as well as undergoing deflation. Jack Kemp has an interesting article about that very thing published just today at http ://www.townhall.com/columnists/jackkemp/jk20010815.shtml.

Nick said: "He could have seen hundreds of posts by "pollies", most of which would have pegged the final outcome,..."

I believe Johnathan deals with that objection nicely. In particular, though, I refer you to Nick 'Z' who was frequently mentioned, links to whom were provided regularly, and in general worshipped [g] by the polly faithful. Then there was Paul Davis who said the same things as Nick, although in more detail. And who could forget the debate between Hoffy and that dim bulb. Dang, I can't remember his name. Can someone furnish it? Anyway, Hoffman gave quite a stimulating analysis (and as it turns out, absolutely accurate), and DimBulb couldn't seem to grasp it. Or, more likely, didn't want to. Bottom line is that the evidence was there from the beginning to nearly the end. If you'd read at all you would have seen some of it.

That is absolutely, unmitigaged hogwash. I told you earlier I didn't have enough time to read much.

But you claim you did read enough to know that Dennis Olson was a TB2K regular? THAT's puzzling. Maybe you had a very selective reading list. That is, only those people you agreed with. (Pardon me, TK, but that is a sign of a meme as the word is defined.)

Sorry, old boy, your story doesn't stack up. Buddy's right: you aren't who or what you claim to be.



-- Anonymous, August 15, 2001


If Steve Heller, with his background, thinks Y2k to be a very serious threat to society, and this is not indicative of a Meme in his noodle, then what in the hell is it indicative of TK?

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

I have still, in my attic, some 5000 pages of documentation supporting everything I wrote; it includes web pages, but also includes dozens of interviews, actual tests, email exchanges, and all sorts of other goodies.

Yes, Jonathan, I'm sure that you do. And I'm sure that there are a lot of people out there with all kinds of papers in their attic, "proving" all kinds of stuff: that Aliens walk among us, that the New World Order rules the world, that our brainwaves are monitored, etc., etc.

If I may, let me give you the most sincere and humble advice that I can: Take control, Jonathan. Burn your papers (safely! Not in your attic). Forget your "thought contagionation" fascination. Stay off the Internet for a month, maybe two.

Live! (And keep smiling.) Good luck.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

ATTN: TK (Troll_Krapper):

Try again. Enter data below. I know you can do it.

DEFINE "MEME" OR "THOUGHT CONTAGION" the terms you dismiss below


I will just keep posting this until I get a suitable answer.

BEFORE THIS GOES ANY FURTHER : DEFINE THE "thought contagionation nuttiness,".DEFINE "MEME".....I don't mean just dismiss it as you do here. DEFINE IT AND SPECIFICALLY TELL US WHY IT IS "nuttiness". FORGET THE SURFACE TREATMENT BS YOU TRY TO GET AWAY WITH. IN FACT, I CLAIM YOU DON"T KNOW THE FIRST THING YOU ARE TALKING ABOUT. PERIOD.

You may be right about "Confused"; only "Confused" knows for sure what his motives are. But, so far, the only pre-rollover debunker arguments that I have seen are heavy on the profanity and thought contagionation nuttiness, and rather light on facts.

-- TK (none@none.non), August 15, 2001




-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

If Steve Heller, with his background, thinks Y2k to be a very serious threat to society, and this is not indicative of a Meme in his noodle, then what in the hell is it indicative of TK?

"His background" hardly qualified him to talk about anything other than computer software. He had no credentials whatsoever to be commenting on it's societal ramifications. Obviously.

Just because you might be a true expert in one field certainly does not qualify you to be mouthing off about another. For example, suppose that you are a qualified realtor, but have this peculiar fascination with a particular computer bug...

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

Who did have the qualifications TK?

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

BTW, I don't know if you can spot it, but *I* disagree with YOU and CPR on the issue of opinions outside of one's supposed specialty.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

I have a great deal of respect for Jack Kemp, but I disagree with him. Which part of his prediction do you agree with?

"At the end of August, second- quarter GDP growth will almost certainly be revised downward from 0.7 percent on an annual basis to close to zero or even into negative territory..."

You might want to read TK's posts. It is wise to read experts. Greenspan in THE expert. *I* learned that from Y2K. You could stand to learn the same lesson. It will be interesting to see which one of us is right this time: you or me. *I* will check in here at the end of August to eat crow or accept your apology. Will you be here?

You wrote: ", I refer you to Nick 'Z' who was frequently mentioned," I take this to mean you are Nick Z. I will read Johnathans site and keep an eye peeled for your name. But, I want you to know ahead of time, -- pay real close attention to this -- I wouldn't have paid attention to anyone who didn't post a real, verifiable name even before the roll - over. Anyone with a lick of sense wouldn't have. I also want you to know that I didn't just read people posting their real names on TB2K. I remember sitting in my living room watching a show on PBS where "experts" were saying there were millions of lines of code and NOBODY could get them fixed in time. Those were real, live people putting their names AND faces on television! I trusted them a whole lot more than I trusted any real name on the Internet and certainly more than any fake name like Nick Z.

Buddy said he thought we were on another planet if we didn't see posts by pollies. *I'm* saying I saw posts, but they weren't of a technical nature - written by people's real names. *I* missed Jonathans posts, *I* don't remember seeing him at all. If you don't believe what I'm saying, that is YOUR problem.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001


I remember sitting in my living room watching a show on PBS where "experts" were saying there were millions of lines of code and NOBODY could get them fixed in time.

LOL!

The "expert" you saw on that show must have been a certified doomer. It was probably that guy in California, a former programmer who built his own fenced-in compound. I forget his name, but I do remember seeing him on TV.

Your "experts" from TV just reaffirm our assertions that the Y2K-hype needed to be debunked.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001


Buddy, You wrote:"Your "experts" from TV just reaffirm our assertions that the Y2K-hype needed to be debunked."

You didn't do a very good job. I didn't see you pollies on TV "Debunking" it.

I'm getting tired of wasting my time. You fellows are going to think what you think regardless of what anyone has to say. I thought I could ask a few questions and point out a few things without getting my ass chewed out. You must think that no one else has a valid opinion and this whole issue could possibly be viewed differently. Dream on.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001


Maybe the reason the debunking got lost, or is so damn hard to find, was because of a little thing called the Millennium Contagion. I laugh when I hear simpletons like TK dismiss the issue of memetics. Most here know better, firsthand over a period of months and years that the issue of the Meme--WAS the Y2k issue when it is all boiled down.

Doomer Y2k prediction after bloody prediction came and went from as far back as the summer of 1998. As the dates passed, did the average doom spewer revise their "calculations"? Course not, what all good meme infected hosts do was to revise reality to suit the continued life of the Meme. In that context, outnumbered hundreds of thousands to one, how long would you last explaining the same technicals over and over again till you are blue in the face? to folks spewing the EXACT same bullshit and usual sources of propaganda? i.e. a Meme.

Reason most here are testy when pressed on this issue, is because we KNOW this thing inside and out. We have heard the TK and Confused arguments ad nausem for years. TK is about as average a Meme as they come. I sense you Confused at least want to better understand.

Look the plain fact is this...the Doom argument not only was wrong, it was COMPLETELY 100% wrong. THAT fact is telling you this was as far from a simplistic BAR BET as one could get. It is also showing you that the folks here were DAMN correct. Correct to the point we are sick of hearing from those who still think this Y2k business about LUCK.

Now do you want to LEARN? or play games?

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001


Why would the media put a debunker on TV? They wanted sensationalism, and they got it with the doomsayers they interviewed.

Look, the debunking I did was for the benefit of those who had bought into the hype. That was a small minority of the public, but was a majority of the folks who were on-line talking about Y2K. If you went to almost any Y2K forum on the internet during that time, the majority of the posters were "doomers." What is wrong with trying to counter-act that?

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001


I seem to remember seeing a "polly" on T.V. I can't remember his name, but he was the guy with the website that had a frog in a tuxedo at the top. There was an hour-long segment on Y2k and this guy played an integral part in it. I think his portion had to do with a video, available free of charge at Blockbuster, which described the changes one needed to make to one's PC for Y2k. I visited Blockbuster, and [sure enough] the video WAS free. I checked it out and watched it, but I can't remember if it gave me any information I didn't already know.

-- Anonymous, August 16, 2001

Confused,

You wrote: ", I refer you to Nick 'Z' who was frequently mentioned," I take this to mean you are Nick Z.

If you had really been reading other replies on this thread, you would've already found the answer to that. So your assertion is, to put a polite veneer on it, disingenuous. Charles gave a reference to Nick Z's Y2K predictions on another thread, so you have no excuse for not knowing who he is and what he said.

Interesting that you should mention Greenspan. He's the most prominent "polly" of all. He kept trying to reassure the whole world (literally) that Y2K was going to be no more than "a three-day event." So if you read or heard any of his speeches during '98-'99 you undoubtedly knew what he said. And if you consider him an expert . . . well, I'll leave the inference as an exercise for the reader.

Apology? To whom? For what? And why?

You, an anonymous flamer kicking the anthill over here, demand an apology? After all the self-righteous posturing about NOT posting anonymously? After all the hypocrisy about being a Christian, YOU'RE demanding an apology?

Live up to your self-reported credentials, pal, and we'll discuss apologies after that.



-- Anonymous, August 20, 2001


Kicking an anthill?

THAT sounds rather familiar. Anyone seen TK, cornfused-flake and Flint in the same room at the same time?

-- Anonymous, August 20, 2001


Too funny! cpr, who was caught cross-dressing as "Sister Catherine", is now trying to accuse other people of using aliases.

What a nutball.

-- Anonymous, August 20, 2001

So, "tk", you admit you have been outed? Or can't you find something to post from the Haaaavard Crimson today?

-- Anonymous, August 21, 2001

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