STARING INTO THE SINGULARITY
From The Low Beyond. )1996, )1999 by Eliezer S. Yudkowsky

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The short version:

If computing power doubles every two years,
what happens when computers are doing the research?

Computing power doubles every two years.
Computing power doubles every two years of work.
Computing power doubles every two subjective years of work.

Two years after computers reach human equivalence, their power doubles again. One year later, their speed doubles again.

Six months - three months - 1.5 months ... Singularity.

It's expected in 2035. (Oops, make that 2025.)

(see link for much more...)

-- scott (hma5_5@hotmail.com), February 08, 2000